Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Fortaleza EC

Juventude vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-05 21:30
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Fortaleza EC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
25%
2
21%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Fortaleza EC
LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
25%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Juventude 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away
May 2025 Juventude(A) 0 - 5 Fortaleza EC Away
Nov 2024 Juventude 0 - 3 Fortaleza EC Away
Jun 2024 Juventude(A) 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away
Sep 2022 Juventude 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1
Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)53%
Draw (X)25%
Fortaleza EC Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 26%
63% -1.5 79%
95% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05
Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Fortaleza EC
12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target19%
Breno Lopes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Pochettino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
Deyverson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Fortaleza EC

80.89% Pass accuracy 79.24%
339 Passes per match 354.39
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.01
15.89 Fouls committed 14.18
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.63
1.86 Offsides 2.06
15.82 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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