Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Palmeiras

Juventude vs Palmeiras prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-02 21:30
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Palmeiras
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Palmeiras (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Palmeiras
WWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 89%
37% +1.5 58%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Low.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Palmeiras averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Juventude 0 - 2 Palmeiras Away
Oct 2025 Juventude(A) 1 - 4 Palmeiras Away
Oct 2024 Juventude 3 - 5 Palmeiras Away
Jun 2024 Juventude(A) 1 - 3 Palmeiras Away
Sep 2022 Juventude(A) 1 - 2 Palmeiras Away

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Palmeiras — winless run (away)0
Palmeiras — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)32%
Draw (X)27%
Palmeiras Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 89%
37% +1.5 58%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 11%
63% -1.5 42%
95% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Palmeiras — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Palmeiras — scored (away)1.63
Palmeiras — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Palmeiras — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Palmeiras (away)

Corners for6.0
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Palmeiras
9 13 8 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Palmeiras (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Palmeiras — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Palmeiras — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79
Outside the box6.61

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
J. López
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target30%
F. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
Luighi Hanri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Andreas Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Palmeiras xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 52.34%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Palmeiras

80.89% Pass accuracy 82.21%
339 Passes per match 406.61
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.13
15.89 Fouls committed 14.61
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
1.86 Offsides 1.79
15.82 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Palmeiras prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Palmeiras with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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