Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Santos

Juventude vs Santos prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-03 22:30
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Santos
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
26%
2
30%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Santos (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Santos
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 37%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Santos averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Juventude 0 - 3 Santos Away
Aug 2025 Juventude(A) 1 - 3 Santos Away
Oct 2022 Juventude(A) 1 - 4 Santos Away
Jun 2022 Juventude 1 - 2 Santos Away
Sep 2021 Juventude 3 - 0 Santos Home

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Santos — winless run (away)0
Santos — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)44%
Draw (X)26%
Santos Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 37%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 63%
95% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Santos — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Santos — scored (away)1.11
Santos — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Santos — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Santos (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Santos
12 5 12 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Santos (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Santos — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Santos — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Santos

Inside the box8.05
Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Santos

Neymar
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Guilherme
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target13%
Á. Barreal
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
B. Rollheiser
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
Victor Hugo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Santos xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 49.68%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Santos

80.89% Pass accuracy 82.87%
339 Passes per match 394.58
-0.18 Goals prevented -0.02
15.89 Fouls committed 13.74
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.86 Offsides 1.68
15.82 Tackles per match 17.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Santos prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Santos with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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