What markets are included in the Juventude vs Sao Paulo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Juventude vs Sao Paulo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Sao Paulo

Juventude vs Sao Paulo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-24 22:00

Juventude

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sao Paulo

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

28%

26%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Sao Paulo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude

DLDLD

Sao Paulo

LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Sao Paulo averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

28%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Juventude(A) 1 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

Jul 2025 Juventude 0 - 1 Sao Paulo Away

Dec 2024 Juventude(A) 2 - 1 Sao Paulo Home

Jul 2024 Juventude 0 - 0 Sao Paulo Draw

Oct 2022 Juventude 1 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0

Juventude — scoring streak (home)0

Sao Paulo — winless run (away)3

Sao Paulo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)47%

Draw (X)28%

Sao Paulo Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 47%

63% -1.5 68%

95% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Sao Paulo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11

Juventude — conceded (home)1.37

Sao Paulo — scored (away)0.84

Sao Paulo — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%

Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.4

Sao Paulo (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude

12 11 11 8 11

Sao Paulo

9 11 7 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.595%

Under 2.55%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Sao Paulo (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5

Sao Paulo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4

Sao Paulo — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47

Outside the box4.42

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Gabriel Taliari

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Batalla

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target5%

Mandaca

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target9%

Nenê

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Tapia

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Dinenno

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Ferreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85

Sao Paulo xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 52.13%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Sao Paulo

80.89% Pass accuracy 83.71%

339 Passes per match 438.63

-0.18 Goals prevented 0.21

15.89 Fouls committed 14.24

3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

1.86 Offsides 1.47

15.82 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Sao Paulo prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Sao Paulo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights