Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Sport Recife

Juventude vs Sport Recife prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-14 23:00
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sport Recife
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
27%
2
22%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Sport Recife (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Sport Recife
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 47%
37% +1.5 11%
5% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Sport Recife averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
27%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Juventude(A) 2 - 0 Sport Recife Home
Jul 2025 Juventude 2 - 0 Sport Recife Home
Oct 2023 Juventude 2 - 2 Sport Recife Draw
Jun 2023 Juventude(A) 0 - 3 Sport Recife Away
Oct 2021 Juventude(A) 1 - 3 Sport Recife Away

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Sport Recife — winless run (away)10
Sport Recife — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)51%
Draw (X)27%
Sport Recife Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 47%
37% +1.5 11%
5% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 53%
63% -1.5 89%
95% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Sport Recife — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Sport Recife — scored (away)0.58
Sport Recife — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Sport Recife — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Sport Recife (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Sport Recife
12 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Sport Recife (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Sport Recife — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Sport Recife — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Léo Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target25%
Chrystian Barletta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Ortíz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
I. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Sport Recife xG (away)0.97

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 46.24%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Sport Recife

80.89% Pass accuracy 81.37%
339 Passes per match 375.95
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.15
15.89 Fouls committed 13.63
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
1.86 Offsides 1.84
15.82 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Sport Recife prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Sport Recife with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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