Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Vasco DA Gama

Juventude vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-20 22:00
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Vasco DA Gama
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
25%
2
35%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Vasco DA Gama
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Juventude(A) 3 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Home
Aug 2025 Juventude 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home
Oct 2024 Juventude(A) 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Draw
Jun 2024 Juventude 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

In the last 4 meetings, Juventude won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4
Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
Vasco DA Gama Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%
63% -1.5 68%
95% -2.5 79%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Juventude vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26
Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Vasco DA Gama
8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target38%
Philippe Coutinho
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Vegetti
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
Nuno Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Vasco DA Gama

80.89% Pass accuracy 86.47%
339 Passes per match 481
-0.18 Goals prevented -0.15
15.89 Fouls committed 13.18
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.86 Offsides 0.81
15.82 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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