What markets are included in the Juventus vs AC Milan prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Juventus vs AC Milan prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-09-06 16:30

Juventus

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

AC Milan

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

27%

33%

+2.5 Goals

44%

BTTS

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Juventus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.84

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate47%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventus

DLWDD

AC Milan

LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%

58% +1.5 47%

26% +2.5 21%

16% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventus averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

27%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Juventus(A) 0 - 0 AC Milan Draw

Oct 2025 Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan Draw

Jan 2025 Juventus 2 - 0 AC Milan Home

Nov 2024 Juventus(A) 0 - 0 AC Milan Draw

Apr 2024 Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Juventus won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Juventus — unbeaten run (home)0

Juventus — scoring streak (home)0

AC Milan — winless run (away)0

AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventus Win (1)40%

Draw (X)27%

AC Milan Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%

58% +1.5 47%

26% +2.5 21%

16% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%

42% -1.5 53%

74% -2.5 79%

84% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Juventus vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventus — scored (home)1.84

Juventus — conceded (home)0.84

AC Milan — scored (away)1.47

AC Milan — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals2.45

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Juventus — BTTS matches (home)47%

AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventus (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against3.4

AC Milan (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventus

4 15 8 8 12

AC Milan

4 5 4 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.569%

Under 2.531%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventus (home)

For1.1

AC Milan (away)

For1.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%

Under 19.526%

Over 22.561%

Under 22.539%

Over 25.547%

Under 25.553%

Expected total shots25.77

Juventus

Shots Over 9.582%

Shots Over 11.569%

Shots Over 13.555%

Expected shots14.80

On Target Over 3.567%

On Target Over 4.550%

On Target Over 5.535%

Expected on target4.81

AC Milan

Shots Over 9.559%

Shots Over 11.541%

Shots Over 13.527%

Expected shots10.97

On Target Over 3.547%

On Target Over 4.530%

On Target Over 5.518%

Expected on target3.60

Shots per Game

Juventus — total shots (home)19.7

AC Milan — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Juventus — on target (home)6.8

AC Milan — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventus

Inside the box11

Outside the box5.82

AC Milan

Inside the box9.16

Outside the box4.08

Player Shots Juventus

K. Yıldız

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target28%

D. Vlahović

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target21%

J. Boga

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target20%

Francisco Conceição

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. Zhegrova

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots AC Milan

C. Pulišić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rafael Leão

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target24%

S. Giménez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

Y. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target0%

C. Nkunku

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventus xG (home)1.81

AC Milan xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

57.5% Possession 51.84%

Team Comparison Juventus vs AC Milan

86.21% Pass accuracy 86.74%

520.92 Passes per match 483.74

0.02 Goals prevented 0.2

12.13 Fouls committed 10.11

1.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

2.03 Offsides 1.92

16.05 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventus vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review Juventus vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights