Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventus vs AS Roma

Juventus vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-20 19:45
Juventus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
AS Roma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
29%
2
32%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventus
DLWDD
AS Roma
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 11%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventus averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
29%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Juventus(A) 3 - 3 AS Roma Draw
Dec 2025 Juventus 2 - 1 AS Roma Home
Apr 2025 Juventus(A) 1 - 1 AS Roma Draw
Sep 2024 Juventus 0 - 0 AS Roma Draw
May 2024 Juventus(A) 1 - 1 AS Roma Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Juventus won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Juventus — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventus — scoring streak (home)0
AS Roma — winless run (away)0
AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventus Win (1)39%
Draw (X)29%
AS Roma Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 11%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%
42% -1.5 53%
74% -2.5 89%
84% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Juventus vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventus — scored (home)1.84
Juventus — conceded (home)0.84
AS Roma — scored (away)1.37
AS Roma — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Juventus — BTTS matches (home)47%
AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventus (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against3.4

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventus
4 15 8 8 12
AS Roma
14 9 9 11 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventus (home)

For1.1

AS Roma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Juventus — total shots (home)19.7
AS Roma — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Juventus — on target (home)6.8
AS Roma — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventus

Inside the box11
Outside the box5.82

AS Roma

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Juventus

K. Yıldız
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Boga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
Francisco Conceição
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Zhegrova
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots AS Roma

D. Malen
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target89%
+1.5 On Target56%
E. Ferguson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Soulé
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventus xG (home)1.81
AS Roma xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

57.5% Possession 56.29%

Team Comparison Juventus vs AS Roma

86.21% Pass accuracy 83.32%
520.92 Passes per match 487.97
0.02 Goals prevented -0.02
12.13 Fouls committed 13.76
1.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.82
2.03 Offsides 1.68
16.05 Tackles per match 15.11

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventus vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Juventus vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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