Prediction Analysis: Juventus vs Atalanta
Juventus vs Atalanta prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-09-20
16:30
Juventus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Atalanta
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
26%
2
28%
+2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Juventus (Home)
Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%
Atalanta (Away)
Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Juventus
DLWDD
Atalanta
DLWDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
89%
58%
+1.5
32%
26%
+2.5
16%
16%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.
Juventus averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Atalanta averages 1.37 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Juventus(A)
1 - 0
Atalanta
Home
Sep 2025
Juventus
1 - 1
Atalanta
Draw
Mar 2025
Juventus
0 - 4
Atalanta
Away
Jan 2025
Juventus(A)
1 - 1
Atalanta
Draw
Mar 2024
Juventus
2 - 2
Atalanta
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Juventus won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Juventus — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventus — scoring streak (home)0
Atalanta — winless run (away)1
Atalanta — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Juventus Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
Atalanta Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
89%
58%
+1.5
32%
26%
+2.5
16%
16%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
11%
42%
-1.5
68%
74%
-2.5
84%
84%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Juventus vs Atalanta — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Juventus — scored (home)1.84
Juventus — conceded (home)0.84
Atalanta — scored (away)1.37
Atalanta — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.58
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Juventus — BTTS matches (home)47%
Atalanta — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Juventus (home)
Corners for6.5
Corners against3.4
Atalanta (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Juventus
4
15
8
8
12
Atalanta
10
8
4
7
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Juventus (home)
For1.1
Atalanta (away)
For2.3
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.549%
Under 25.551%
Expected total shots26.19
Juventus
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.97
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.11
Atalanta
Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.22
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.56
Shots per Game
Juventus — total shots (home)19.7
Atalanta — total shots (away)12.5
Shots on Target
Juventus — on target (home)6.8
Atalanta — on target (away)4.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Juventus
Inside the box11
Outside the box5.82
Atalanta
Inside the box9.79
Outside the box5
Player Shots Juventus
K. Yıldız
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Boga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
Francisco Conceição
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Zhegrova
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target5%
Player Shots Atalanta
N. Krstović
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target27%
G. Scamacca
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Raspadori
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Lookman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. De Ketelaere
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventus xG (home)1.81
Atalanta xG (away)1.52
Average Possession
57.5%
Possession
55.13%
Team Comparison Juventus vs Atalanta
86.21%
Pass accuracy
84.05%
520.92
Passes per match
493.89
0.02
Goals prevented
0.26
12.13
Fouls committed
11.84
1.97
Goalkeeper saves
3.11
2.03
Offsides
1.97
16.05
Tackles per match
15.61
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Juventus vs Atalanta prediction analysis
Review Juventus vs Atalanta with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights