Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventus vs Parma

Juventus vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-10-30 19:45
Juventus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
25%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Parma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
32%
2
20%
Under 2.5
75%
BTTS No
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Juventus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Parma (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventus
WWDDW
Parma
WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
63% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 25%. Model confidence is High.

Juventus averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
32%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Yes
30%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Juventus(A) 4 - 1 Parma Home
Aug 2025 Juventus 2 - 0 Parma Home
Apr 2025 Juventus(A) 0 - 1 Parma Away
Oct 2024 Juventus 2 - 2 Parma Draw
Apr 2021 Juventus 3 - 1 Parma Home

In the last 5 meetings, Juventus won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Juventus — unbeaten run (home)4
Juventus — scoring streak (home)4
Parma — winless run (away)0
Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventus Win (1)48%
Draw (X)32%
Parma Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
63% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
37% -1.5 68%
89% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventus vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventus — scored (home)1.63
Juventus — conceded (home)0.79
Parma — scored (away)1
Parma — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals1.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes30%
No70%

Rate per Team

Juventus — BTTS matches (home)37%
Parma — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventus (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Parma (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventus
5 13 6 15 12
Parma
6 10 4 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventus (home)

For1.7

Parma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Juventus — total shots (home)15.6
Parma — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Juventus — on target (home)5.3
Parma — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventus

Inside the box9.13
Outside the box4.42

Parma

Inside the box6.61
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Juventus

N. González
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target23%
P. Kalulu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
R. Kolo Muani
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Yıldız
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Camara
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%
S. Sohm
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventus xG (home)1.35
Parma xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

57.55% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Juventus vs Parma

87.29% Pass accuracy 79.68%
519.13 Passes per match 383
-0.04 Goals prevented -0.14
12.63 Fouls committed 10.66
2.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
1.63 Offsides 0.82
15.89 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventus vs Parma prediction analysis

Review Juventus vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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