Prediction Analysis: Juventus vs Parma
Juventus vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-08-30
16:30
Juventus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Juventus
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Parma
Away
Prediction Summary
1
55%
X
27%
2
19%
+2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
40%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Juventus (Home)
Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%
Parma (Away)
Goals scored / match0.63
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate32%
Team Form last 5 matches
Juventus
DLWDD
Parma
WLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
53%
58%
+1.5
11%
26%
+2.5
0%
16%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
32%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
Juventus averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 0.63 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
55%
Draw
27%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Juventus(A)
4 - 1
Parma
Home
Aug 2025
Juventus
2 - 0
Parma
Home
Apr 2025
Juventus(A)
0 - 1
Parma
Away
Oct 2024
Juventus
2 - 2
Parma
Draw
Apr 2021
Juventus
3 - 1
Parma
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Juventus won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Juventus — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventus — scoring streak (home)0
Parma — winless run (away)2
Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Juventus Win (1)55%
Draw (X)27%
Parma Win (2)19%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
53%
58%
+1.5
11%
26%
+2.5
0%
16%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
47%
42%
-1.5
89%
74%
-2.5
100%
84%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Juventus vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Juventus — scored (home)1.84
Juventus — conceded (home)0.84
Parma — scored (away)0.63
Parma — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.21
Both Teams To Score
Yes40%
No60%
Rate per Team
Juventus — BTTS matches (home)47%
Parma — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)39.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Juventus (home)
Corners for6.5
Corners against3.4
Parma (away)
Corners for3.5
Corners against5.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Juventus
4
15
8
8
12
Parma
11
11
9
17
2
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Juventus (home)
For1.1
Parma (away)
For1.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.69
Juventus
Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.561%
Expected shots15.77
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.01
Parma
Shots Over 9.550%
Shots Over 11.532%
Shots Over 13.519%
Expected shots9.91
On Target Over 3.535%
On Target Over 4.520%
On Target Over 5.510%
Expected on target2.99
Shots per Game
Juventus — total shots (home)19.7
Parma — total shots (away)9.0
Shots on Target
Juventus — on target (home)6.8
Parma — on target (away)2.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Juventus
Inside the box11
Outside the box5.82
Parma
Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.74
Player Shots Juventus
K. Yıldız
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Boga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
Francisco Conceição
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Zhegrova
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target5%
Player Shots Parma
Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Gabriel Strefezza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%
Adrián Bernabé
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventus xG (home)1.81
Parma xG (away)0.84
Average Possession
57.5%
Possession
44%
Team Comparison Juventus vs Parma
86.21%
Pass accuracy
79.66%
520.92
Passes per match
361.58
0.02
Goals prevented
0.07
12.13
Fouls committed
10.87
1.97
Goalkeeper saves
3.03
2.03
Offsides
1.35
16.05
Tackles per match
13.92
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Juventus vs Parma prediction analysis
Review Juventus vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights