Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventus vs Sporting CP

Juventus vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-04 20:00
Juventus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Sporting CP
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
21%
2
21%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventus (Home)

Goals scored / match2.4
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate60%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventus
WLDWW
Sporting CP
DLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
80% +1.5 17%
40% +2.5 17%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventus averages 2.4 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
21%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 3

Nov 2025 Juventus 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw
Apr 2023 Juventus(A) 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw
Apr 2023 Juventus 1 - 0 Sporting CP Home

In the last 3 meetings, Juventus won 1, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Juventus — unbeaten run (home)5
Juventus — scoring streak (home)5
Sporting CP — winless run (away)2
Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventus Win (1)58%
Draw (X)21%
Sporting CP Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
80% +1.5 17%
40% +2.5 17%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
20% -1.5 83%
60% -2.5 83%
80% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventus vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventus — scored (home)2.4
Juventus — conceded (home)1.4
Sporting CP — scored (away)1
Sporting CP — conceded (away)1.83
Model expected combined goals3.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Juventus — BTTS matches (home)60%
Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventus (home)

Corners for7.2
Corners against3.4

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventus
17 11 6 10 13
Sporting CP
13 9 20 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.574%
Under 1.526%
Over 2.554%
Under 2.546%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventus (home)

For1.6

Sporting CP (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Juventus — total shots (home)20.4
Sporting CP — total shots (away)7.0

Shots on Target

Juventus — on target (home)6.8
Sporting CP — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventus

Inside the box11.3
Outside the box5

Sporting CP

Inside the box8.83
Outside the box4.08

Player Shots Juventus

D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
K. Yıldız
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target30%
F. Gatti
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
W. McKennie
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Francisco Conceição
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target33%
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Geny Catamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventus xG (home)1.96
Sporting CP xG (away)1.42

Average Possession

47.5% Possession 50.08%

Team Comparison Juventus vs Sporting CP

83.8% Pass accuracy 86.08%
441.4 Passes per match 490.08
0.05 Goals prevented -0.08
15.8 Fouls committed 10.75
3.9 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.8 Offsides 1.42
14.9 Tackles per match 17

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventus vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Juventus vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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