Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventus vs VfB Stuttgart

Juventus vs VfB Stuttgart prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-10-22 19:00
Juventus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfB Stuttgart
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
23%
2
26%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

VfB Stuttgart (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventus
LWLDW
VfB Stuttgart
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 100%
60% +1.5 25%
20% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventus averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while VfB Stuttgart averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
23%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Juventus 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Away

In the last 1 meetings, Juventus won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Juventus — unbeaten run (home)1
Juventus — scoring streak (home)1
VfB Stuttgart — winless run (away)0
VfB Stuttgart — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Juventus Win (1)51%
Draw (X)23%
VfB Stuttgart Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 100%
60% +1.5 25%
20% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 0%
40% -1.5 75%
80% -2.5 75%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventus vs VfB Stuttgart — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventus — scored (home)1.4
Juventus — conceded (home)1
VfB Stuttgart — scored (away)1.5
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (away)2.25
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Juventus — BTTS matches (home)40%
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.590%
Under 7.510%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)12.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventus (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.4

VfB Stuttgart (away)

Corners for9.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventus
8 7 10 9 11
VfB Stuttgart
7 8 5 23 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventus (home)

For1.0

VfB Stuttgart (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Juventus — total shots (home)12.2
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (away)18.3

Shots on Target

Juventus — on target (home)4.8
VfB Stuttgart — on target (away)6.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventus

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box4.1

VfB Stuttgart

Inside the box11.13
Outside the box6.25

Player Shots Juventus

S. Mbangula
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
N. González
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
Francisco Conceição
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
W. McKennie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots VfB Stuttgart

J. Leweling
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target60%
E. Millot
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Stiller
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventus xG (home)1.18
VfB Stuttgart xG (away)1.78

Average Possession

51.1% Possession 59.13%

Team Comparison Juventus vs VfB Stuttgart

87.3% Pass accuracy 85.13%
484.7 Passes per match 549.63
0.27 Goals prevented -0.54
11.3 Fouls committed 11.38
3.7 Goalkeeper saves 1.88
2.5 Offsides 2.13
17.6 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventus vs VfB Stuttgart prediction analysis

Review Juventus vs VfB Stuttgart with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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