Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kairat Almaty vs Celtic

Kairat Almaty vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Champions League 2025-08-26 16:45
Kairat Almaty
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
11%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Celtic
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
37%
2
6%
Under 2.5
89%
BTTS No
91%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Kairat Almaty (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate13%

Celtic (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kairat Almaty
LLLLL
Celtic
DDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 50%
25% +1.5 17%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
13% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 11%. Model confidence is High.

Kairat Almaty averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
91%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
37%
Away Win
6%
Over 2.5
11%
BTTS Yes
9%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Kairat Almaty 0 - 0 Celtic Draw
Aug 2025 Kairat Almaty(A) 0 - 0 Celtic Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Kairat Almaty won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Kairat Almaty — unbeaten run (home)0
Kairat Almaty — scoring streak (home)1
Celtic — winless run (away)6
Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kairat Almaty Win (1)58%
Draw (X)37%
Celtic Win (2)6%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 50%
25% +1.5 17%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 50%
75% -1.5 83%
87% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Kairat Almaty vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kairat Almaty — scored (home)0.88
Kairat Almaty — conceded (home)1.25
Celtic — scored (away)0.67
Celtic — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals1.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes9%
No91%

Rate per Team

Kairat Almaty — BTTS matches (home)13%
Celtic — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kairat Almaty (home)

Corners for3.2
Corners against5.6

Celtic (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kairat Almaty
12 5 9 4 11
Celtic
8 14 7 18 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.584%
Under 0.516%
Over 1.557%
Under 1.543%
Over 2.537%
Under 2.563%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Kairat Almaty (home)

For1.6

Celtic (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Kairat Almaty — total shots (home)11.6
Celtic — total shots (away)6.2

Shots on Target

Kairat Almaty — on target (home)2.6
Celtic — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kairat Almaty

Inside the box4.91
Outside the box5.36

Celtic

Inside the box6.7
Outside the box2.9

Player Shots Kairat Almaty

D. Satpaev
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
O. Arad
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target0%
Edmilson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Zaria
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Stanojev
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Celtic

N. Kühn
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Furuhashi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Engels
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Hatate
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kairat Almaty xG (home)0.75
Celtic xG (away)1.42

Average Possession

40.91% Possession 50.9%

Team Comparison Kairat Almaty vs Celtic

73.55% Pass accuracy 86.7%
377.09 Passes per match 506.8
0.34 Goals prevented 0.03
11.73 Fouls committed 9.2
4.91 Goalkeeper saves 3.9
1.3 Offsides 2
20.45 Tackles per match 18.83

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kairat Almaty vs Celtic prediction analysis

Review Kairat Almaty vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top