Prediction Analysis: Kairat Almaty vs KuPS
Kairat Almaty vs KuPS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Kairat Almaty
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
27%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
KuPS
Away
Prediction Summary
1
50%
X
31%
2
19%
Under 2.5
73%
BTTS No
68%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Kairat Almaty (Home)
Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate13%
KuPS (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Kairat Almaty
LLLLL
KuPS
LWDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
50%
+0.5
0%
25%
+1.5
0%
13%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
13%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.
Kairat Almaty averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while KuPS averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
73%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
50%
Draw
31%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS Yes
32%
Head-to-Head last 2
Jul 2025
Kairat Almaty
3 - 0
KuPS
Home
Jul 2025
Kairat Almaty(A)
0 - 2
KuPS
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Kairat Almaty won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Kairat Almaty — unbeaten run (home)0
Kairat Almaty — scoring streak (home)1
KuPS — winless run (away)2
KuPS — clean sheets (away, last 2)1 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Kairat Almaty Win (1)50%
Draw (X)31%
KuPS Win (2)19%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
50%
+0.5
0%
25%
+1.5
0%
13%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
50%
-0.5
100%
75%
-1.5
100%
87%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Kairat Almaty vs KuPS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Kairat Almaty — scored (home)0.88
Kairat Almaty — conceded (home)1.25
KuPS — scored (away)0
KuPS — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals1.81
Both Teams To Score
Yes32%
No68%
Rate per Team
Kairat Almaty — BTTS matches (home)13%
KuPS — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)6.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.540%
Under 4.560%
Over 5.540%
Under 5.560%
Over 6.540%
Under 6.560%
Over 7.540%
Under 7.560%
Over 8.540%
Under 8.560%
Over 9.520%
Under 9.580%
Over 10.510%
Under 10.590%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Kairat Almaty (home)
Corners for3.2
Corners against5.6
KuPS (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Kairat Almaty
12
5
9
4
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.540%
Under 1.560%
Over 2.520%
Under 2.580%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Kairat Almaty (home)
For1.6
KuPS (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Kairat Almaty — total shots (home)11.6
KuPS — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Kairat Almaty — on target (home)2.6
KuPS — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Kairat Almaty
Inside the box4.91
Outside the box5.36
KuPS
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Kairat Almaty
D. Satpaev
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
O. Arad
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target0%
Edmilson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Zaria
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Stanojev
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots KuPS
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Kairat Almaty xG (home)0.75
KuPS xG (away)-
Average Possession
40.91%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Kairat Almaty vs KuPS
73.55%
Pass accuracy
0%
377.09
Passes per match
-
0.34
Goals prevented
-
11.73
Fouls committed
-
4.91
Goalkeeper saves
-
1.3
Offsides
-
20.45
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Kairat Almaty vs KuPS prediction analysis
Review Kairat Almaty vs KuPS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights