Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir

Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-29 17:00
Kasımpaşa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Başakşehir
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
27%
2
48%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kasımpaşa (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Başakşehir (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kasımpaşa
WLDLW
Başakşehir
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 76%
18% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kasımpaşa averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Başakşehir averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
27%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Kasımpaşa(A) 0 - 4 Başakşehir Away
Nov 2025 Kasımpaşa 1 - 3 Başakşehir Away
May 2025 Kasımpaşa 2 - 3 Başakşehir Away
Dec 2024 Kasımpaşa(A) 2 - 2 Başakşehir Draw
May 2024 Kasımpaşa(A) 1 - 4 Başakşehir Away

In the last 5 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Kasımpaşa — unbeaten run (home)5
Kasımpaşa — scoring streak (home)5
Başakşehir — winless run (away)0
Başakşehir — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kasımpaşa Win (1)25%
Draw (X)27%
Başakşehir Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 76%
18% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 24%
82% -1.5 53%
94% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kasımpaşa — scored (home)0.88
Kasımpaşa — conceded (home)1.12
Başakşehir — scored (away)1.47
Başakşehir — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Kasımpaşa — BTTS matches (home)41%
Başakşehir — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kasımpaşa (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.8

Başakşehir (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kasımpaşa
7 8 11 9 9
Başakşehir
13 8 12 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Kasımpaşa (home)

For2.0

Başakşehir (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Kasımpaşa — total shots (home)11.4
Başakşehir — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Kasımpaşa — on target (home)3.2
Başakşehir — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kasımpaşa

Inside the box5.5
Outside the box4.06

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
H. Hajradinović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Guèye
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
İ. Kahveci
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target19%
Cláudio Winck
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target41%
Y. Sarı
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Selke
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Fayzullaev
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kasımpaşa xG (home)0.89
Başakşehir xG (away)1.58

Average Possession

44.44% Possession 54.44%

Team Comparison Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir

76.26% Pass accuracy 83.5%
338.41 Passes per match 435.29
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.06
15.5 Fouls committed 13.35
2.94 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
1.39 Offsides 1.36
15.03 Tackles per match 12.82

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir prediction analysis

Review Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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