Prediction Analysis: Kasımpaşa vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kasımpaşa vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Süper Lig
2025-12-12
17:00
Kasımpaşa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Away
Prediction Summary
1
34%
X
27%
2
39%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Kasımpaşa (Home)
Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Away)
Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
Kasımpaşa
WLDLW
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
WWLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
47%
18%
+1.5
18%
6%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.
Kasımpaşa averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. averages 0.71 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
34%
Draw
27%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Kasımpaşa
3 - 0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Home
May 2026
Kasımpaşa(A)
2 - 3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Away
Dec 2025
Kasımpaşa
0 - 0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Draw
Dec 2024
Kasımpaşa(A)
1 - 0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Home
Mar 2021
Kasımpaşa(A)
1 - 2
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Kasımpaşa — unbeaten run (home)5
Kasımpaşa — scoring streak (home)5
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — winless run (away)0
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Kasımpaşa Win (1)34%
Draw (X)27%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win (2)39%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
47%
18%
+1.5
18%
6%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
53%
82%
-1.5
82%
94%
-2.5
94%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Kasımpaşa vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Kasımpaşa — scored (home)0.88
Kasımpaşa — conceded (home)1.12
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scored (away)0.71
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals2.47
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
Kasımpaşa — BTTS matches (home)41%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)41%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Kasımpaşa (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against3.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against5.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Kasımpaşa
7
8
11
9
9
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6
3
7
9
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Kasımpaşa (home)
For2.0
Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
Kasımpaşa — total shots (home)11.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — total shots (away)9.1
Shots on Target
Kasımpaşa — on target (home)3.2
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — on target (away)2.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Kasımpaşa
Inside the box5.5
Outside the box4.06
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Inside the box6.44
Outside the box4.29
Player Shots Kasımpaşa
A. Benedyczak
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
H. Hajradinović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Guèye
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
İ. Kahveci
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target19%
Cláudio Winck
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Gençlerbirliği S.K.
F. Tongya
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Mimaroğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Koïta
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Niang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Kasımpaşa xG (home)0.89
Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG (away)1.04
Average Possession
44.44%
Possession
43.24%
Team Comparison Kasımpaşa vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
76.26%
Pass accuracy
77.03%
338.41
Passes per match
324.79
-0.04
Goals prevented
0.15
15.5
Fouls committed
12.82
2.94
Goalkeeper saves
3.15
1.39
Offsides
1.76
15.03
Tackles per match
14.26
League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Kasımpaşa vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. prediction analysis
Review Kasımpaşa vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights