Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kasımpaşa vs Göztepe

Kasımpaşa vs Göztepe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-08 17:00
Kasımpaşa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Göztepe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
28%
2
45%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kasımpaşa (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Göztepe (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kasımpaşa
WLDLW
Göztepe
LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 71%
18% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kasımpaşa averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Göztepe averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
28%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Kasımpaşa(A) 3 - 3 Göztepe Draw
Nov 2025 Kasımpaşa 0 - 2 Göztepe Away
May 2025 Kasımpaşa 1 - 2 Göztepe Away
Feb 2025 Kasımpaşa 0 - 5 Göztepe Away
Jan 2025 Kasımpaşa(A) 0 - 5 Göztepe Away

In the last 5 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Kasımpaşa — unbeaten run (home)5
Kasımpaşa — scoring streak (home)5
Göztepe — winless run (away)3
Göztepe — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kasımpaşa Win (1)27%
Draw (X)28%
Göztepe Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 71%
18% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 29%
82% -1.5 71%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Kasımpaşa vs Göztepe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kasımpaşa — scored (home)0.88
Kasımpaşa — conceded (home)1.12
Göztepe — scored (away)1.06
Göztepe — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Kasımpaşa — BTTS matches (home)41%
Göztepe — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kasımpaşa (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.8

Göztepe (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kasımpaşa
7 8 11 9 9
Göztepe
9 7 7 15 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Kasımpaşa (home)

For2.0

Göztepe (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Kasımpaşa — total shots (home)11.4
Göztepe — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Kasımpaşa — on target (home)3.2
Göztepe — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kasımpaşa

Inside the box5.5
Outside the box4.06

Göztepe

Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.56

Player Shots Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
H. Hajradinović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Guèye
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
İ. Kahveci
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target19%
Cláudio Winck
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Göztepe

Juan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Olaitan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%
Janderson
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
Emersonn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Jeh
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kasımpaşa xG (home)0.89
Göztepe xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

44.44% Possession 38.29%

Team Comparison Kasımpaşa vs Göztepe

76.26% Pass accuracy 68.03%
338.41 Passes per match 252.03
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.1
15.5 Fouls committed 17.68
2.94 Goalkeeper saves 2.85
1.39 Offsides 1.82
15.03 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kasımpaşa vs Göztepe prediction analysis

Review Kasımpaşa vs Göztepe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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