Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor

Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2026-08-16 17:00
Kasımpaşa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Trabzonspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
26%
2
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Kasımpaşa (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Trabzonspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kasımpaşa
WLDLW
Trabzonspor
LWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 88%
18% +1.5 59%
6% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Kasımpaşa averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Trabzonspor averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
26%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Kasımpaşa(A) 1 - 2 Trabzonspor Away
Aug 2025 Kasımpaşa 0 - 1 Trabzonspor Away
May 2025 Kasımpaşa 1 - 1 Trabzonspor Draw
Dec 2024 Kasımpaşa(A) 2 - 2 Trabzonspor Draw
Jan 2024 Kasımpaşa(A) 3 - 2 Trabzonspor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Kasımpaşa won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Kasımpaşa — unbeaten run (home)5
Kasımpaşa — scoring streak (home)5
Trabzonspor — winless run (away)0
Trabzonspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kasımpaşa Win (1)27%
Draw (X)26%
Trabzonspor Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 88%
18% +1.5 59%
6% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 12%
82% -1.5 41%
94% -2.5 71%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 100%

Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kasımpaşa — scored (home)0.88
Kasımpaşa — conceded (home)1.12
Trabzonspor — scored (away)1.88
Trabzonspor — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Kasımpaşa — BTTS matches (home)41%
Trabzonspor — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kasımpaşa (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.8

Trabzonspor (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kasımpaşa
7 8 11 9 9
Trabzonspor
13 12 7 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Kasımpaşa (home)

For2.0

Trabzonspor (away)

For1.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.02

Kasımpaşa

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.32
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.19

Trabzonspor

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.70
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.01

Shots per Game

Kasımpaşa — total shots (home)11.4
Trabzonspor — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Kasımpaşa — on target (home)3.2
Trabzonspor — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kasımpaşa

Inside the box5.5
Outside the box4.06

Trabzonspor

Inside the box9.15
Outside the box5.76

Player Shots Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
H. Hajradinović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Guèye
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
İ. Kahveci
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target19%
Cláudio Winck
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Trabzonspor

P. Onuachu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target43%
E. Muçi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target31%
Felipe Augusto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Zubkov
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Olaigbe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kasımpaşa xG (home)0.89
Trabzonspor xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

44.44% Possession 54.76%

Team Comparison Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor

76.26% Pass accuracy 85.32%
338.41 Passes per match 444.41
-0.04 Goals prevented -0.1
15.5 Fouls committed 12.12
2.94 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.39 Offsides 1.76
15.03 Tackles per match 15.41

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor prediction and preview

Preview Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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