Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş

Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-09-24 17:00
Kayserispor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Beşiktaş
Away

Prediction Summary

1
22%
X
23%
2
55%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kayserispor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Beşiktaş (Away)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kayserispor
WLDWL
Beşiktaş
DLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 82%
18% +1.5 59%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kayserispor averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Beşiktaş averages 1.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
22%
Draw
23%
Away Win
55%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Kayserispor(A) 0 - 1 Beşiktaş Away
Sep 2025 Kayserispor 0 - 4 Beşiktaş Away
Mar 2025 Kayserispor(A) 0 - 2 Beşiktaş Away
Sep 2024 Kayserispor 0 - 3 Beşiktaş Away
Feb 2024 Kayserispor 0 - 0 Beşiktaş Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Kayserispor won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Kayserispor — unbeaten run (home)3
Kayserispor — scoring streak (home)3
Beşiktaş — winless run (away)1
Beşiktaş — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kayserispor Win (1)22%
Draw (X)23%
Beşiktaş Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 82%
18% +1.5 59%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 18%
82% -1.5 41%
94% -2.5 76%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kayserispor — scored (home)0.88
Kayserispor — conceded (home)1.88
Beşiktaş — scored (away)1.71
Beşiktaş — conceded (away)1.18
Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Kayserispor — BTTS matches (home)47%
Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kayserispor (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.2

Beşiktaş (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kayserispor
8 14 12 8 7
Beşiktaş
8 7 10 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Kayserispor (home)

For2.5

Beşiktaş (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Kayserispor — total shots (home)13.6
Beşiktaş — total shots (away)15.2

Shots on Target

Kayserispor — on target (home)4.1
Beşiktaş — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kayserispor

Inside the box7.06
Outside the box5.32

Beşiktaş

Inside the box10.85
Outside the box6.03

Player Shots Kayserispor

D. Makarov
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
L. Bénes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
G. Onugkha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target19%
Miguel Cardoso
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
I. Tuci
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Beşiktaş

Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
E. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Kökçü
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kayserispor xG (home)1.12
Beşiktaş xG (away)1.9

Average Possession

47% Possession 55.53%

Team Comparison Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş

79.35% Pass accuracy 82.29%
361.85 Passes per match 446.71
0.11 Goals prevented 0.16
13.12 Fouls committed 13.29
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
2.29 Offsides 2.16
13.35 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş prediction analysis

Review Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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