Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kayserispor vs Samsunspor

Kayserispor vs Samsunspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-10-19 11:30
Kayserispor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Samsunspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
14%
X
21%
2
65%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kayserispor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Samsunspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kayserispor
WLDWL
Samsunspor
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 82%
18% +1.5 41%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kayserispor averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Samsunspor averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
14%
Draw
21%
Away Win
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Kayserispor(A) 1 - 2 Samsunspor Away
Oct 2025 Kayserispor 1 - 3 Samsunspor Away
Jun 2025 Kayserispor(A) 1 - 2 Samsunspor Away
Jan 2025 Kayserispor 0 - 1 Samsunspor Away
Jan 2024 Kayserispor(A) 0 - 2 Samsunspor Away

In the last 5 meetings, Kayserispor won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Kayserispor — unbeaten run (home)3
Kayserispor — scoring streak (home)3
Samsunspor — winless run (away)1
Samsunspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kayserispor Win (1)14%
Draw (X)21%
Samsunspor Win (2)65%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 82%
18% +1.5 41%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 18%
82% -1.5 59%
94% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Kayserispor vs Samsunspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kayserispor — scored (home)0.88
Kayserispor — conceded (home)1.88
Samsunspor — scored (away)1.41
Samsunspor — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Kayserispor — BTTS matches (home)47%
Samsunspor — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kayserispor (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.2

Samsunspor (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kayserispor
8 14 12 8 7
Samsunspor
8 17 9 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Kayserispor (home)

For2.5

Samsunspor (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Kayserispor — total shots (home)13.6
Samsunspor — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Kayserispor — on target (home)4.1
Samsunspor — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kayserispor

Inside the box7.06
Outside the box5.32

Samsunspor

Inside the box8.21
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Kayserispor

D. Makarov
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
L. Bénes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
G. Onugkha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target19%
Miguel Cardoso
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
I. Tuci
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Samsunspor

M. Mouandilmadji
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Holse
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target26%
A. Musaba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Tavşan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marius
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kayserispor xG (home)1.12
Samsunspor xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

47% Possession 54.29%

Team Comparison Kayserispor vs Samsunspor

79.35% Pass accuracy 82.71%
361.85 Passes per match 436.06
0.11 Goals prevented -0.18
13.12 Fouls committed 14.91
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
2.29 Offsides 2
13.35 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kayserispor vs Samsunspor prediction analysis

Review Kayserispor vs Samsunspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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