Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kayserispor vs Sivasspor

Kayserispor vs Sivasspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-16 16:00
Kayserispor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sivasspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Kayserispor (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Sivasspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sivasspor
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 67%
0% +1.5 22%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Kayserispor averages 0 goals scored at home, while Sivasspor averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Kayserispor(A) 2 - 5 Sivasspor Away
Aug 2024 Kayserispor 1 - 2 Sivasspor Away
May 2024 Kayserispor(A) 1 - 2 Sivasspor Away
Jan 2024 Kayserispor 1 - 3 Sivasspor Away
Jun 2023 Kayserispor(A) 1 - 1 Sivasspor Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Kayserispor won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Sivasspor — winless run (away)2
Sivasspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kayserispor Win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
Sivasspor Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 67%
0% +1.5 22%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 33%
100% -1.5 78%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Kayserispor vs Sivasspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kayserispor — scored (home)0
Kayserispor — conceded (home)0
Sivasspor — scored (away)0.89
Sivasspor — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Kayserispor — BTTS matches (home)0%
Sivasspor — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)28%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kayserispor (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Sivasspor (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.534%
Under 2.566%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Kayserispor (home)

For—

Sivasspor (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.559%
Under 19.541%
Over 22.545%
Under 22.555%
Over 25.533%
Under 25.567%
Expected total shots22.40

Kayserispor

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.04
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.50

Sivasspor

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.36
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.65

Shots per Game

Kayserispor — total shots (home)—
Sivasspor — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Kayserispor — on target (home)—
Sivasspor — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kayserispor

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Player Shots Kayserispor

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kayserispor xG (home)-
Sivasspor xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.24%

Team Comparison Kayserispor vs Sivasspor

0% Pass accuracy 79.59%
- Passes per match 374.54
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 11.57
- Goalkeeper saves 2.36
- Offsides 2.68
- Tackles per match 14.32

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kayserispor vs Sivasspor prediction and preview

Preview Kayserispor vs Sivasspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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