Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK

Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-29 10:30
Keçiörengücü
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Iğdır FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
27%
2
24%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Keçiörengücü (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate58%

Iğdır FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Keçiörengücü
LWWLD
Iğdır FK
DLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 37%
37% +2.5 16%
16% +3.5 5%
16% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Keçiörengücü averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
27%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Keçiörengücü(A) 1 - 0 Iğdır FK Home
Nov 2025 Keçiörengücü 1 - 2 Iğdır FK Away
Feb 2025 Keçiörengücü(A) 0 - 3 Iğdır FK Away
Sep 2024 Keçiörengücü 2 - 0 Iğdır FK Home

In the last 4 meetings, Keçiörengücü won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Keçiörengücü — unbeaten run (home)6
Keçiörengücü — scoring streak (home)1
Iğdır FK — winless run (away)1
Iğdır FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Keçiörengücü Win (1)49%
Draw (X)27%
Iğdır FK Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 37%
37% +2.5 16%
16% +3.5 5%
16% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 32%
47% -1.5 63%
63% -2.5 84%
84% -3.5 95%
84% -4.5 95%

Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Keçiörengücü — scored (home)2.11
Keçiörengücü — conceded (home)0.79
Iğdır FK — scored (away)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Keçiörengücü — BTTS matches (home)58%
Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.519%
Under 10.581%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Keçiörengücü (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against3.6

Iğdır FK (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Keçiörengücü
12 10 13 8 10
Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Keçiörengücü (home)

For2.2

Iğdır FK (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Keçiörengücü — total shots (home)15.0
Iğdır FK — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Keçiörengücü — on target (home)5.5
Iğdır FK — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Keçiörengücü

Inside the box8.62
Outside the box4.67

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Keçiörengücü

E. Rroca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Diouf
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Fernándes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Ezeh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Keçiörengücü xG (home)2.19
Iğdır FK xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

47.69% Possession 56.45%

Team Comparison Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK

79.13% Pass accuracy 81.32%
348.64 Passes per match 435.74
0 Goals prevented 0
13.28 Fouls committed 12
2.44 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
2.51 Offsides 3.16
15.03 Tackles per match 13.63

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK prediction analysis

Review Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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