Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor

Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-16 16:00
Keçiörengücü
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Keçiörengücü
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Pendikspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
25%
2
24%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Keçiörengücü (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate58%

Pendikspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match1.15
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Keçiörengücü
LWWLD
Pendikspor
LDWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 30%
37% +2.5 15%
16% +3.5 10%
16% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Keçiörengücü averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Pendikspor averages 1.25 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
25%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Keçiörengücü(A) 1 - 0 Pendikspor Home
Sep 2025 Keçiörengücü 0 - 0 Pendikspor Draw
Mar 2025 Keçiörengücü(A) 2 - 0 Pendikspor Home
Oct 2024 Keçiörengücü 1 - 1 Pendikspor Draw
Mar 2023 Keçiörengücü(A) 1 - 2 Pendikspor Away

In the last 5 meetings, Keçiörengücü won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Keçiörengücü — unbeaten run (home)6
Keçiörengücü — scoring streak (home)1
Pendikspor — winless run (away)5
Pendikspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Keçiörengücü Win (1)52%
Draw (X)25%
Pendikspor Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 30%
37% +2.5 15%
16% +3.5 10%
16% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 35%
47% -1.5 70%
63% -2.5 85%
84% -3.5 90%
84% -4.5 95%

Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Keçiörengücü — scored (home)2.11
Keçiörengücü — conceded (home)0.79
Pendikspor — scored (away)1.25
Pendikspor — conceded (away)1.15
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Keçiörengücü — BTTS matches (home)58%
Pendikspor — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Keçiörengücü (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against3.6

Pendikspor (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Keçiörengücü
12 10 13 8 10
Pendikspor
9 11 11 7 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Keçiörengücü (home)

For2.2

Pendikspor (away)

For2.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.564%
Under 19.536%
Over 22.550%
Under 22.550%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.52

Keçiörengücü

Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots13.07
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.82

Pendikspor

Shots Over 9.554%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.46
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.78

Shots per Game

Keçiörengücü — total shots (home)15.0
Pendikspor — total shots (away)12.4

Shots on Target

Keçiörengücü — on target (home)5.5
Pendikspor — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Keçiörengücü

Inside the box8.62
Outside the box4.67

Pendikspor

Inside the box7.95
Outside the box5.15

Player Shots Keçiörengücü

E. Rroca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Diouf
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Fernándes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Ezeh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%

Player Shots Pendikspor

Đ. Denić
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target11%
Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Wilks
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target31%
J. Clarke-Harris
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
V. Soldo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Keçiörengücü xG (home)2.19
Pendikspor xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

47.69% Possession 52.28%

Team Comparison Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor

79.13% Pass accuracy 81.28%
348.64 Passes per match 393.87
0 Goals prevented 0
13.28 Fouls committed 14.72
2.44 Goalkeeper saves 2.26
2.51 Offsides 1.61
15.03 Tackles per match 15.36

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor prediction analysis

Review Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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