Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor

Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-10-19 10:30
Keçiörengücü
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sivasspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
28%
2
20%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Keçiörengücü (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate58%

Sivasspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Keçiörengücü
LWWLD
Sivasspor
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 22%
37% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Keçiörengücü averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Sivasspor averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
28%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 Keçiörengücü(A) 1 - 0 Sivasspor Home
Oct 2025 Keçiörengücü 0 - 0 Sivasspor Draw
Dec 2024 Keçiörengücü 1 - 4 Sivasspor Away
Jan 2024 Keçiörengücü(A) 2 - 3 Sivasspor Away

In the last 4 meetings, Keçiörengücü won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Keçiörengücü — unbeaten run (home)6
Keçiörengücü — scoring streak (home)1
Sivasspor — winless run (away)2
Sivasspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Keçiörengücü Win (1)52%
Draw (X)28%
Sivasspor Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 22%
37% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 33%
47% -1.5 78%
63% -2.5 100%
84% -3.5 100%
84% -4.5 100%

Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Keçiörengücü — scored (home)2.11
Keçiörengücü — conceded (home)0.79
Sivasspor — scored (away)0.89
Sivasspor — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Keçiörengücü — BTTS matches (home)58%
Sivasspor — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.581%
Under 5.519%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Keçiörengücü (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against3.6

Sivasspor (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Keçiörengücü
12 10 13 8 10
Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Keçiörengücü (home)

For2.2

Sivasspor (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Keçiörengücü — total shots (home)15.0
Sivasspor — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Keçiörengücü — on target (home)5.5
Sivasspor — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Keçiörengücü

Inside the box8.62
Outside the box4.67

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Player Shots Keçiörengücü

E. Rroca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Diouf
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Fernándes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Ezeh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Keçiörengücü xG (home)2.19
Sivasspor xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

47.69% Possession 50.24%

Team Comparison Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor

79.13% Pass accuracy 79.59%
348.64 Passes per match 374.54
0 Goals prevented 0
13.28 Fouls committed 11.57
2.44 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
2.51 Offsides 2.68
15.03 Tackles per match 14.32

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor prediction analysis

Review Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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