Prediction Analysis: Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2025-12-28
10:30
Keçiörengücü
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Ümraniyespor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
29%
2
18%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Keçiörengücü (Home)
Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate58%
Ümraniyespor (Away)
Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%
Team Form last 5 matches
Keçiörengücü
LWWLD
Ümraniyespor
LWLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
53%
53%
+1.5
21%
37%
+2.5
5%
16%
+3.5
0%
16%
+4.5
0%
58%
BTTS
37%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.
Keçiörengücü averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Ümraniyespor averages 0.79 goals scored away.
Model Strength
69%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
29%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
34%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Keçiörengücü(A)
4 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Home
Dec 2025
Keçiörengücü
3 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Home
Apr 2025
Keçiörengücü
0 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Away
Dec 2024
Keçiörengücü(A)
2 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Home
Apr 2024
Keçiörengücü
4 - 2
Ümraniyespor
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Keçiörengücü won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Keçiörengücü — unbeaten run (home)6
Keçiörengücü — scoring streak (home)1
Ümraniyespor — winless run (away)0
Ümraniyespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Keçiörengücü Win (1)53%
Draw (X)29%
Ümraniyespor Win (2)18%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
53%
53%
+1.5
21%
37%
+2.5
5%
16%
+3.5
0%
16%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
47%
47%
-1.5
79%
63%
-2.5
95%
84%
-3.5
100%
84%
-4.5
100%
Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Keçiörengücü — scored (home)2.11
Keçiörengücü — conceded (home)0.79
Ümraniyespor — scored (away)0.79
Ümraniyespor — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals1.94
Both Teams To Score
Yes34%
No66%
Rate per Team
Keçiörengücü — BTTS matches (home)58%
Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)47.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Keçiörengücü (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against3.6
Ümraniyespor (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Keçiörengücü
12
10
13
8
10
Ümraniyespor
8
14
7
14
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Keçiörengücü (home)
For2.2
Ümraniyespor (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
Keçiörengücü — total shots (home)15.0
Ümraniyespor — total shots (away)8.9
Shots on Target
Keçiörengücü — on target (home)5.5
Ümraniyespor — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Keçiörengücü
Inside the box8.62
Outside the box4.67
Ümraniyespor
Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97
Player Shots Keçiörengücü
E. Rroca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Diouf
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Fernándes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Ezeh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%
Player Shots Ümraniyespor
B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Keçiörengücü xG (home)2.19
Ümraniyespor xG (away)1.27
Average Possession
47.69%
Possession
47.08%
Team Comparison Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor
79.13%
Pass accuracy
79.97%
348.64
Passes per match
386.84
0
Goals prevented
0
13.28
Fouls committed
10.42
2.44
Goalkeeper saves
3.08
2.51
Offsides
1.59
15.03
Tackles per match
14.54
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor prediction analysis
Review Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights