Prediction Analysis: Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd
Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Kilmarnock
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Ayr Utd
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Kilmarnock (Home)
Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate33%
Ayr Utd (Away)
Goals scored / match2.2
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate60%
Team Form last 5 matches
Kilmarnock
DWWDD
Ayr Utd
WWWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
83%
+0.5
80%
50%
+1.5
40%
17%
+2.5
40%
17%
+3.5
20%
0%
+4.5
20%
33%
BTTS
60%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
Kilmarnock averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Ayr Utd averages 2.2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 4
Mar 2022
Kilmarnock(A)
3 - 1
Ayr Utd
Home
Feb 2022
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Ayr Utd
Away
Oct 2021
Kilmarnock(A)
1 - 0
Ayr Utd
Home
Aug 2021
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Ayr Utd
Home
In the last 4 meetings, Kilmarnock won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Kilmarnock — unbeaten run (home)6
Kilmarnock — scoring streak (home)1
Ayr Utd — winless run (away)0
Ayr Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Kilmarnock Win (1)42%
Draw (X)25%
Ayr Utd Win (2)34%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
83%
+0.5
80%
50%
+1.5
40%
17%
+2.5
40%
17%
+3.5
20%
0%
+4.5
20%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
17%
-0.5
20%
50%
-1.5
60%
83%
-2.5
60%
83%
-3.5
80%
100%
-4.5
80%
Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Kilmarnock — scored (home)1.67
Kilmarnock — conceded (home)0.5
Ayr Utd — scored (away)2.2
Ayr Utd — conceded (away)1.4
Model expected combined goals2.88
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (home)33%
Ayr Utd — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)46.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.551%
Under 8.549%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Kilmarnock (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Ayr Utd (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Kilmarnock
6
Ayr Utd
10
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Kilmarnock (home)
For—
Ayr Utd (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.533%
Under 19.567%
Over 22.521%
Under 22.579%
Over 25.513%
Under 25.587%
Expected total shots17.13
Kilmarnock
Shots Over 9.547%
Shots Over 11.531%
Shots Over 13.519%
Expected shots9.73
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target4.00
Ayr Utd
Shots Over 9.526%
Shots Over 11.514%
Shots Over 13.57%
Expected shots7.40
On Target Over 3.524%
On Target Over 4.511%
On Target Over 5.55%
Expected on target2.47
Shots per Game
Kilmarnock — total shots (home)—
Ayr Utd — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Kilmarnock — on target (home)—
Ayr Utd — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Kilmarnock
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Ayr Utd
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd prediction and preview
Preview Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
League Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights