Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd

Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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League Cup 2026-08-15 14:00
Kilmarnock
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Ayr Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kilmarnock (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate33%

Ayr Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match2.2
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kilmarnock
DWWDD
Ayr Utd
WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 80%
50% +1.5 40%
17% +2.5 40%
17% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 20%
33% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kilmarnock averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Ayr Utd averages 2.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2022 Kilmarnock(A) 3 - 1 Ayr Utd Home
Feb 2022 Kilmarnock 1 - 2 Ayr Utd Away
Oct 2021 Kilmarnock(A) 1 - 0 Ayr Utd Home
Aug 2021 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Ayr Utd Home

In the last 4 meetings, Kilmarnock won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Kilmarnock — unbeaten run (home)6
Kilmarnock — scoring streak (home)1
Ayr Utd — winless run (away)0
Ayr Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kilmarnock Win (1)42%
Draw (X)25%
Ayr Utd Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 80%
50% +1.5 40%
17% +2.5 40%
17% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 20%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 20%
50% -1.5 60%
83% -2.5 60%
83% -3.5 80%
100% -4.5 80%

Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kilmarnock — scored (home)1.67
Kilmarnock — conceded (home)0.5
Ayr Utd — scored (away)2.2
Ayr Utd — conceded (away)1.4
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (home)33%
Ayr Utd — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.551%
Under 8.549%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kilmarnock (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Ayr Utd (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kilmarnock
6
Ayr Utd
10
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Kilmarnock (home)

For—

Ayr Utd (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.533%
Under 19.567%
Over 22.521%
Under 22.579%
Over 25.513%
Under 25.587%
Expected total shots17.13

Kilmarnock

Shots Over 9.547%
Shots Over 11.531%
Shots Over 13.519%
Expected shots9.73
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target4.00

Ayr Utd

Shots Over 9.526%
Shots Over 11.514%
Shots Over 13.57%
Expected shots7.40
On Target Over 3.524%
On Target Over 4.511%
On Target Over 5.55%
Expected on target2.47

Shots per Game

Kilmarnock — total shots (home)—
Ayr Utd — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Kilmarnock — on target (home)—
Ayr Utd — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kilmarnock

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Ayr Utd

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd prediction and preview

Preview Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance League Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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