Prediction Analysis: Kilmarnock vs Celtic
Kilmarnock vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premiership
2026-08-09
12:30
Kilmarnock
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Celtic
Away
Prediction Summary
1
35%
X
25%
2
40%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Kilmarnock (Home)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate47%
Celtic (Away)
Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Kilmarnock
WWWWL
Celtic
WWWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
74%
+0.5
79%
47%
+1.5
58%
21%
+2.5
16%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
Kilmarnock averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 1.58 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
35%
Draw
25%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Celtic
Away
Nov 2025
Kilmarnock(A)
0 - 4
Celtic
Away
Sep 2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Celtic
Away
Apr 2025
Kilmarnock(A)
1 - 5
Celtic
Away
Jan 2025
Kilmarnock(A)
1 - 2
Celtic
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Kilmarnock won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.
Current Streaks
Kilmarnock — unbeaten run (home)5
Kilmarnock — scoring streak (home)9
Celtic — winless run (away)0
Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Kilmarnock Win (1)35%
Draw (X)25%
Celtic Win (2)40%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
74%
+0.5
79%
47%
+1.5
58%
21%
+2.5
16%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
26%
-0.5
21%
53%
-1.5
42%
79%
-2.5
84%
95%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Kilmarnock vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Kilmarnock — scored (home)1.47
Kilmarnock — conceded (home)1.47
Celtic — scored (away)1.58
Celtic — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.95
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (home)47%
Celtic — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Kilmarnock (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against4.4
Celtic (away)
Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Kilmarnock
11
12
5
8
7
Celtic
16
13
8
7
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Kilmarnock (home)
For2.1
Celtic (away)
For2.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.94
Kilmarnock
Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.07
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.58
Celtic
Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.86
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.18
Shots per Game
Kilmarnock — total shots (home)13.5
Celtic — total shots (away)14.6
Shots on Target
Kilmarnock — on target (home)4.5
Celtic — on target (away)4.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Kilmarnock
Inside the box7.66
Outside the box3.68
Celtic
Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58
Player Shots Kilmarnock
T. John-Jules
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Hugill
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
Findlay Curtis
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Kiltie
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Daniels
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Celtic
B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock xG (home)1.36
Celtic xG (away)2.02
Average Possession
42.45%
Possession
65.53%
Team Comparison Kilmarnock vs Celtic
73.08%
Pass accuracy
86.13%
348.76
Passes per match
602.87
0.03
Goals prevented
-0.28
13.13
Fouls committed
12.42
3.55
Goalkeeper saves
2.29
1.84
Offsides
1.5
15.47
Tackles per match
13.92
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Kilmarnock vs Celtic prediction analysis
Review Kilmarnock vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights