Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-08-29 14:00
Kilmarnock
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dundee Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
23%
2
31%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kilmarnock (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate47%

Dundee Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kilmarnock
WWWWL
Dundee Utd
DDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 68%
47% +1.5 47%
21% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kilmarnock averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Dundee Utd averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
23%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Dundee Utd Home
Feb 2026 Kilmarnock(A) 1 - 1 Dundee Utd Draw
Nov 2025 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Dundee Utd Draw
Sep 2025 Kilmarnock(A) 2 - 0 Dundee Utd Home
Aug 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 1 Dundee Utd Home

In the last 5 meetings, Kilmarnock won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Kilmarnock — unbeaten run (home)5
Kilmarnock — scoring streak (home)9
Dundee Utd — winless run (away)6
Dundee Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kilmarnock Win (1)46%
Draw (X)23%
Dundee Utd Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 68%
47% +1.5 47%
21% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 32%
53% -1.5 53%
79% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kilmarnock — scored (home)1.47
Kilmarnock — conceded (home)1.47
Dundee Utd — scored (away)1.32
Dundee Utd — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (home)47%
Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kilmarnock (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.4

Dundee Utd (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kilmarnock
11 12 5 8 7
Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Kilmarnock (home)

For2.1

Dundee Utd (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots26.05

Kilmarnock

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.10
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.00

Dundee Utd

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.95
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.16

Shots per Game

Kilmarnock — total shots (home)13.5
Dundee Utd — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Kilmarnock — on target (home)4.5
Dundee Utd — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kilmarnock

Inside the box7.66
Outside the box3.68

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Kilmarnock

T. John-Jules
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Hugill
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
Findlay Curtis
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Kiltie
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Daniels
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kilmarnock xG (home)1.36
Dundee Utd xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

42.45% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

73.08% Pass accuracy 68.03%
348.76 Passes per match 314.68
0.03 Goals prevented -0.18
13.13 Fouls committed 12.89
3.55 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.84 Offsides 1.69
15.47 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd prediction analysis

Review Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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