What markets are included in the Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-22 15:00

Kilmarnock

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Motherwell

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

26%

43%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Kilmarnock (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate47%

Motherwell (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kilmarnock

WWWWL

Motherwell

WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

47% +1.5 37%

21% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Kilmarnock averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Motherwell averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

26%

Away Win

43%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Kilmarnock(A) 0 - 4 Motherwell Away

Nov 2025 Kilmarnock 1 - 3 Motherwell Away

Aug 2025 Kilmarnock(A) 2 - 2 Motherwell Draw

May 2025 Kilmarnock(A) 0 - 3 Motherwell Away

Apr 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Motherwell Home

In the last 5 meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Kilmarnock — unbeaten run (home)5

Kilmarnock — scoring streak (home)9

Motherwell — winless run (away)0

Motherwell — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kilmarnock Win (1)31%

Draw (X)26%

Motherwell Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

47% +1.5 37%

21% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

53% -1.5 63%

79% -2.5 79%

95% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kilmarnock — scored (home)1.47

Kilmarnock — conceded (home)1.47

Motherwell — scored (away)1.42

Motherwell — conceded (away)1.21

Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (home)47%

Motherwell — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kilmarnock (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.4

Motherwell (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kilmarnock

11 12 5 8 7

Motherwell

12 7 8 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Kilmarnock (home)

For2.1

Motherwell (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Kilmarnock — total shots (home)13.5

Motherwell — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Kilmarnock — on target (home)4.5

Motherwell — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kilmarnock

Inside the box7.66

Outside the box3.68

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Kilmarnock

T. John-Jules

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target78%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Hugill

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target27%

Findlay Curtis

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Kiltie

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Daniels

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target37%

C. Slattery

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target13%

E. Just

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Stamatelopoulos

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target21%

C. Hendry

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kilmarnock xG (home)1.36

Motherwell xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

42.45% Possession 57.89%

Team Comparison Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

73.08% Pass accuracy 84.5%

348.76 Passes per match 533

0.03 Goals prevented -0.06

13.13 Fouls committed 11.66

3.55 Goalkeeper saves 2.63

1.84 Offsides 2.24

15.47 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction analysis

Review Kilmarnock vs Motherwell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights