Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kilmarnock vs Rangers

Kilmarnock vs Rangers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-06 20:00
Kilmarnock
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Rangers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
21%
X
26%
2
53%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kilmarnock (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate47%

Rangers (Away)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kilmarnock
WWWWL
Rangers
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 95%
47% +1.5 47%
21% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 11%
47% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kilmarnock averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Rangers averages 1.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
21%
Draw
26%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Kilmarnock(A) 1 - 5 Rangers Away
Dec 2025 Kilmarnock 0 - 3 Rangers Away
Oct 2025 Kilmarnock(A) 1 - 3 Rangers Away
Feb 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 4 Rangers Away
Dec 2024 Kilmarnock(A) 0 - 6 Rangers Away

In the last 5 meetings, Kilmarnock won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Kilmarnock — unbeaten run (home)5
Kilmarnock — scoring streak (home)9
Rangers — winless run (away)0
Rangers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kilmarnock Win (1)21%
Draw (X)26%
Rangers Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 95%
47% +1.5 47%
21% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 5%
53% -1.5 53%
79% -2.5 74%
95% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 89%

Kilmarnock vs Rangers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kilmarnock — scored (home)1.47
Kilmarnock — conceded (home)1.47
Rangers — scored (away)1.95
Rangers — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (home)47%
Rangers — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kilmarnock (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.4

Rangers (away)

Corners for6.8
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kilmarnock
11 12 5 8 7
Rangers
12 8 8 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Kilmarnock (home)

For2.1

Rangers (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Kilmarnock — total shots (home)13.5
Rangers — total shots (away)14.9

Shots on Target

Kilmarnock — on target (home)4.5
Rangers — on target (away)5.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kilmarnock

Inside the box7.66
Outside the box3.68

Rangers

Inside the box11.13
Outside the box5.34

Player Shots Kilmarnock

T. John-Jules
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Hugill
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
Findlay Curtis
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Kiltie
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Daniels
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Rangers

Youssef Chermiti
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Naderi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Aasgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kilmarnock xG (home)1.36
Rangers xG (away)1.85

Average Possession

42.45% Possession 57.97%

Team Comparison Kilmarnock vs Rangers

73.08% Pass accuracy 82.95%
348.76 Passes per match 470.21
0.03 Goals prevented -0.6
13.13 Fouls committed 12.16
3.55 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
1.84 Offsides 1.58
15.47 Tackles per match 17.11

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kilmarnock vs Rangers prediction analysis

Review Kilmarnock vs Rangers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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