Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kocaelispor vs Amed

Kocaelispor vs Amed prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Süper Lig 2026-08-23 17:00
Kocaelispor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Amed
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
29%
2
31%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kocaelispor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate35%

Amed (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kocaelispor
LLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 0%
18% +1.5 0%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kocaelispor averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Amed averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
29%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2025 Kocaelispor 1 - 0 Amed Home
Sep 2024 Kocaelispor(A) 0 - 3 Amed Away

In the last 2 meetings, Kocaelispor won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Kocaelispor — unbeaten run (home)0
Kocaelispor — scoring streak (home)0

1X2 Probability model

Kocaelispor Win (1)40%
Draw (X)29%
Amed Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 0%
18% +1.5 0%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 100%
82% -1.5 100%
94% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Kocaelispor vs Amed — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kocaelispor — scored (home)0.88
Kocaelispor — conceded (home)0.76
Amed — scored (away)0
Amed — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Kocaelispor — BTTS matches (home)35%
Amed — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)17.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kocaelispor (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8

Amed (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kocaelispor
9 3 11 6 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.544%
Under 0.556%
Over 1.541%
Under 1.559%
Over 2.538%
Under 2.562%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Kocaelispor (home)

For2.3

Amed (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.43

Kocaelispor

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.546%
Expected shots13.50
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.35

Amed

Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.93
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.43

Shots per Game

Kocaelispor — total shots (home)11.9
Amed — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Kocaelispor — on target (home)3.4
Amed — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kocaelispor

Inside the box6.32
Outside the box3.76

Amed

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Kocaelispor

B. Petković
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Bingöl
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Agyei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Linetty
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target12%
S. Dursun
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Amed

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kocaelispor xG (home)0.88
Amed xG (away)-

Average Possession

49.65% Possession -%

Team Comparison Kocaelispor vs Amed

79.03% Pass accuracy 0%
373.65 Passes per match -
-0.02 Goals prevented -
14.74 Fouls committed -
2.12 Goalkeeper saves -
2.27 Offsides -
13.88 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kocaelispor vs Amed prediction and preview

Preview Kocaelispor vs Amed with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top