Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Kocaelispor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Kocaelispor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-28 17:00
Kocaelispor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
33%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
29%
2
22%
Under 2.5
67%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Kocaelispor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate35%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kocaelispor
LLDLD
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 47%
18% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kocaelispor averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
29%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Kocaelispor(A) 0 - 1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Away
Nov 2025 Kocaelispor 1 - 0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Home
Jan 2025 Kocaelispor(A) 0 - 1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Away
Aug 2024 Kocaelispor 2 - 1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Home
Mar 2024 Kocaelispor(A) 0 - 2 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Away

In the last 5 meetings, Kocaelispor won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Kocaelispor — unbeaten run (home)0
Kocaelispor — scoring streak (home)0
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — winless run (away)0
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kocaelispor Win (1)49%
Draw (X)29%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 47%
18% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 53%
82% -1.5 82%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Kocaelispor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kocaelispor — scored (home)0.88
Kocaelispor — conceded (home)0.76
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scored (away)0.71
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals2.04

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Kocaelispor — BTTS matches (home)35%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kocaelispor (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kocaelispor
9 3 11 6 6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6 3 7 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Kocaelispor (home)

For2.3

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Kocaelispor — total shots (home)11.9
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — total shots (away)9.1

Shots on Target

Kocaelispor — on target (home)3.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kocaelispor

Inside the box6.32
Outside the box3.76

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Kocaelispor

B. Petković
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Bingöl
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Agyei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Linetty
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target12%
S. Dursun
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Gençlerbirliği S.K.

F. Tongya
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Mimaroğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Koïta
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Niang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kocaelispor xG (home)0.88
Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG (away)1.04

Average Possession

49.65% Possession 43.24%

Team Comparison Kocaelispor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

79.03% Pass accuracy 77.03%
373.65 Passes per match 324.79
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.15
14.74 Fouls committed 12.82
2.12 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
2.27 Offsides 1.76
13.88 Tackles per match 14.26

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kocaelispor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. prediction analysis

Review Kocaelispor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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