What markets are included in the Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa

Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-12-07 14:00

Kocaelispor

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

30%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Kasımpaşa

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

31%

25%

Under 2.5

70%

BTTS No

63%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Kocaelispor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate35%

Kasımpaşa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kocaelispor

LLDLD

Kasımpaşa

WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 71%

18% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is Medium.

Kocaelispor averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Kasımpaşa averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

31%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

30%

BTTS Yes

37%

Head-to-Head last 3

May 2026 Kocaelispor(A) 1 - 1 Kasımpaşa Draw

Dec 2025 Kocaelispor 0 - 0 Kasımpaşa Draw

Dec 2021 Kocaelispor(A) 3 - 5 Kasımpaşa Away

In the last 3 meetings, Kocaelispor won 0, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Kocaelispor — unbeaten run (home)0

Kocaelispor — scoring streak (home)0

Kasımpaşa — winless run (away)10

Kasımpaşa — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Kocaelispor Win (1)44%

Draw (X)31%

Kasımpaşa Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 71%

18% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 29%

82% -1.5 71%

94% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Kocaelispor — scored (home)0.88

Kocaelispor — conceded (home)0.76

Kasımpaşa — scored (away)1.06

Kasımpaşa — conceded (away)1.76

Model expected combined goals1.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%

No63%

Rate per Team

Kocaelispor — BTTS matches (home)35%

Kasımpaşa — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.568%

Under 6.532%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Kocaelispor (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Kasımpaşa (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kocaelispor

9 3 11 6 6

Kasımpaşa

7 8 11 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Kocaelispor (home)

For2.3

Kasımpaşa (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Kocaelispor — total shots (home)11.9

Kasımpaşa — total shots (away)7.7

Shots on Target

Kocaelispor — on target (home)3.4

Kasımpaşa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Kocaelispor

Inside the box6.32

Outside the box3.76

Kasımpaşa

Inside the box5.5

Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Kocaelispor

B. Petković

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Bingöl

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

D. Agyei

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target10%

K. Linetty

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target12%

S. Dursun

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target36%

H. Hajradinović

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

P. Guèye

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target4%

İ. Kahveci

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target19%

Cláudio Winck

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Kocaelispor xG (home)0.88

Kasımpaşa xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

49.65% Possession 44.44%

Team Comparison Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa

79.03% Pass accuracy 76.26%

373.65 Passes per match 338.41

-0.02 Goals prevented -0.04

14.74 Fouls committed 15.5

2.12 Goalkeeper saves 2.94

2.27 Offsides 1.39

13.88 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa prediction analysis

Review Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights