Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Konyaspor vs Rizespor

Konyaspor vs Rizespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2026-08-16 17:00
Konyaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Rizespor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Konyaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Rizespor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Konyaspor
LLLWW
Rizespor
DLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
53% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Konyaspor averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while Rizespor averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Konyaspor(A) 2 - 3 Rizespor Away
Dec 2025 Konyaspor 1 - 1 Rizespor Draw
May 2025 Konyaspor 2 - 1 Rizespor Home
Dec 2024 Konyaspor(A) 1 - 1 Rizespor Draw
Feb 2024 Konyaspor(A) 0 - 0 Rizespor Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Konyaspor won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Konyaspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Konyaspor — scoring streak (home)0
Rizespor — winless run (away)5
Rizespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Konyaspor Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
Rizespor Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 29%
65% -1.5 65%
88% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Konyaspor vs Rizespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Konyaspor — scored (home)1.24
Konyaspor — conceded (home)1.12
Rizespor — scored (away)1.29
Rizespor — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Konyaspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Rizespor — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Konyaspor (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.6

Rizespor (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Konyaspor
11 12 3 8 7
Rizespor
10 14 3 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Konyaspor (home)

For2.5

Rizespor (away)

For2.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.22

Konyaspor

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.77
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.71

Rizespor

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.44
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.49

Shots per Game

Konyaspor — total shots (home)13.6
Rizespor — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Konyaspor — on target (home)4.2
Rizespor — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Konyaspor

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box5.03

Rizespor

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box5.47

Player Shots Konyaspor

B. Kramer
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target27%
U. Nayir
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Muleka
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. Aleksić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Rizespor

J. Rak-Sakyi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target9%
Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Mihăilă
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target14%
Q. Laçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Sowe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Konyaspor xG (home)1.32
Rizespor xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

51.56% Possession 49.88%

Team Comparison Konyaspor vs Rizespor

80.97% Pass accuracy 81.32%
401.97 Passes per match 391.32
0.06 Goals prevented -0.01
12.59 Fouls committed 13.71
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.26
1.73 Offsides 1.81
15.18 Tackles per match 14.85

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Konyaspor vs Rizespor prediction analysis

Review Konyaspor vs Rizespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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