Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: KRC Genk II vs Liège

KRC Genk II vs Liège prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Challenger Pro League 2026-08-23 14:00
KRC Genk II
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Liège
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
26%
2
39%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

KRC Genk II (Home)

Goals scored / match1.31
Goals conceded / match1.75
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate56%

Liège (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.31
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate31%

Team Form last 5 matches

KRC Genk II
DDDWD
Liège
WWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

69% +0.5 63%
44% +1.5 31%
19% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 31%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Low.

KRC Genk II averages 1.31 goals scored at home, while Liège averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 KRC Genk II 2 - 0 Liège Home
Oct 2025 KRC Genk II(A) 0 - 5 Liège Away
Apr 2025 KRC Genk II(A) 1 - 3 Liège Away
Aug 2024 KRC Genk II 4 - 1 Liège Home
Apr 2024 KRC Genk II(A) 0 - 5 Liège Away

In the last 5 meetings, KRC Genk II won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

KRC Genk II — unbeaten run (home)3
KRC Genk II — scoring streak (home)2
Liège — winless run (away)0
Liège — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

KRC Genk II Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
Liège Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

69% +0.5 63%
44% +1.5 31%
19% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

31% -0.5 37%
56% -1.5 69%
81% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

KRC Genk II vs Liège — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

KRC Genk II — scored (home)1.31
KRC Genk II — conceded (home)1.75
Liège — scored (away)1
Liège — conceded (away)1.31
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

KRC Genk II — BTTS matches (home)56%
Liège — BTTS matches (away)31%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

KRC Genk II (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Liège (away)

Corners for2.0
Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

KRC Genk II
4
Liège
5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.50%
Under 1.5100%
Over 2.50%
Under 2.5100%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)1

Yellow Cards per Team

KRC Genk II (home)

For—

Liège (away)

For1.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.565%
Under 19.535%
Over 22.549%
Under 22.551%
Over 25.533%
Under 25.567%
Expected total shots22.88

KRC Genk II

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.68
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.37

Liège

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.20
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.14

Shots per Game

KRC Genk II — total shots (home)—
Liège — total shots (away)2.0

Shots on Target

KRC Genk II — on target (home)—
Liège — on target (away)1.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

KRC Genk II

Inside the box2
Outside the box8

Liège

Inside the box2
Outside the box0
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

KRC Genk II xG (home)0.56
Liège xG (away)0

Average Possession

46% Possession 62%

Team Comparison KRC Genk II vs Liège

79% Pass accuracy 86%
390 Passes per match 292
0 Goals prevented 0
12 Fouls committed 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Offsides 1

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

KRC Genk II vs Liège prediction analysis

Review KRC Genk II vs Liège with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Challenger Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Challenger Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top