Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: KuPS vs Rīgas FS

KuPS vs Rīgas FS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-08-14 15:00
KuPS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
13%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Rīgas FS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
40%
2
22%
Under 2.5
87%
BTTS No
79%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

KuPS (Home)

Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Rīgas FS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match1.57
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

KuPS
LLWW
Rīgas FS
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 57%
0% +1.5 14%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 13%. Model confidence is High.

KuPS averages 0.5 goals scored at home, while Rīgas FS averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
87%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
40%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
13%
BTTS Yes
21%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 KuPS 1 - 0 Rīgas FS Home
Aug 2025 KuPS(A) 2 - 1 Rīgas FS Home

In the last 2 meetings, KuPS won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

KuPS — unbeaten run (home)0
KuPS — scoring streak (home)0
Rīgas FS — winless run (away)6
Rīgas FS — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

KuPS Win (1)38%
Draw (X)40%
Rīgas FS Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 57%
0% +1.5 14%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 43%
100% -1.5 86%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

KuPS vs Rīgas FS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

KuPS — scored (home)0.5
KuPS — conceded (home)1
Rīgas FS — scored (away)0.71
Rīgas FS — conceded (away)1.57
Model expected combined goals1.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes21%
No79%

Rate per Team

KuPS — BTTS matches (home)0%
Rīgas FS — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)21.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.561%
Under 4.539%
Over 5.554%
Under 5.546%
Over 6.554%
Under 6.546%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

KuPS (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Rīgas FS (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

KuPS
0 0 9 11
Rīgas FS
5 6 10 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.575%
Under 0.525%
Over 1.561%
Under 1.539%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

KuPS (home)

For—

Rīgas FS (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

KuPS — total shots (home)—
Rīgas FS — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

KuPS — on target (home)—
Rīgas FS — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

KuPS

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Rīgas FS

Inside the box6.63
Outside the box2.25

Player Shots KuPS

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Rīgas FS

J. Ikaunieks
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target38%
D. Lemajić
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Marhiev
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Savaļnieks
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Odisharia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

KuPS xG (home)-
Rīgas FS xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

-% Possession 36.67%

Team Comparison KuPS vs Rīgas FS

0% Pass accuracy 75.75%
- Passes per match 340.5
- Goals prevented -0.2
- Fouls committed 13.33
- Goalkeeper saves 3.33
- Offsides 1.67
- Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

KuPS vs Rīgas FS prediction analysis

Review KuPS vs Rīgas FS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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