Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven

KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-10-25 16:15
KV Mechelen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
OH Leuven
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
22%
2
17%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

KV Mechelen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate65%

OH Leuven (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

KV Mechelen
LDDLW
OH Leuven
LDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 65%
30% +1.5 20%
5% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

KV Mechelen averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while OH Leuven averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
22%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 KV Mechelen(A) 2 - 2 OH Leuven Draw
Oct 2025 KV Mechelen 1 - 1 OH Leuven Draw
May 2025 KV Mechelen(A) 2 - 1 OH Leuven Home
Apr 2025 KV Mechelen 1 - 1 OH Leuven Draw
Jan 2025 KV Mechelen(A) 0 - 1 OH Leuven Away

In the last 5 meetings, KV Mechelen won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

KV Mechelen — unbeaten run (home)2
KV Mechelen — scoring streak (home)4
OH Leuven — winless run (away)5
OH Leuven — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

KV Mechelen Win (1)61%
Draw (X)22%
OH Leuven Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 65%
30% +1.5 20%
5% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 35%
70% -1.5 80%
95% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

KV Mechelen — scored (home)1.2
KV Mechelen — conceded (home)1.25
OH Leuven — scored (away)0.95
OH Leuven — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

KV Mechelen — BTTS matches (home)65%
OH Leuven — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

KV Mechelen (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.8

OH Leuven (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

KV Mechelen
11 6 4 8 4
OH Leuven
7 10 12 20 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

KV Mechelen (home)

For2.1

OH Leuven (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

KV Mechelen — total shots (home)10.6
OH Leuven — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

KV Mechelen — on target (home)3.5
OH Leuven — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

KV Mechelen

Inside the box6.78
Outside the box3.08

OH Leuven

Inside the box8.93
Outside the box3.93

Player Shots KV Mechelen

L. Lauberbach
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Schoofs
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Bouke Boersma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. van Brederode
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Raman
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots OH Leuven

C. Terho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ikwuemesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Maertens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%
K. Vaesen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

KV Mechelen xG (home)1.15
OH Leuven xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

49.28% Possession 45.85%

Team Comparison KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven

79.43% Pass accuracy 76.98%
408.45 Passes per match 348.93
0.1 Goals prevented 0.07
10.35 Fouls committed 14.45
4 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
1.46 Offsides 2.2
16.55 Tackles per match 17.28

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven prediction analysis

Review KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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