Prediction Analysis: KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege
KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2025-11-28
19:45
KV Mechelen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Standard Liege
Away
Prediction Summary
1
47%
X
28%
2
26%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
KV Mechelen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate65%
Standard Liege (Away)
Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate30%
Team Form last 5 matches
KV Mechelen
LDDLW
Standard Liege
LWDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
65%
30%
+1.5
40%
5%
+2.5
15%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
65%
BTTS
30%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.
KV Mechelen averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Standard Liege averages 1.3 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
47%
Draw
28%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
Head-to-Head last 5
Nov 2025
KV Mechelen
0 - 1
Standard Liege
Away
Sep 2025
KV Mechelen(A)
1 - 1
Standard Liege
Draw
May 2025
KV Mechelen
0 - 0
Standard Liege
Draw
Mar 2025
KV Mechelen(A)
2 - 2
Standard Liege
Draw
Dec 2024
KV Mechelen
0 - 0
Standard Liege
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, KV Mechelen won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
KV Mechelen — unbeaten run (home)2
KV Mechelen — scoring streak (home)4
Standard Liege — winless run (away)0
Standard Liege — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
KV Mechelen Win (1)47%
Draw (X)28%
Standard Liege Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
65%
30%
+1.5
40%
5%
+2.5
15%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
35%
70%
-1.5
60%
95%
-2.5
85%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
95%
KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
KV Mechelen — scored (home)1.2
KV Mechelen — conceded (home)1.25
Standard Liege — scored (away)1.3
Standard Liege — conceded (away)1.05
Model expected combined goals2.29
Both Teams To Score
Yes45%
No55%
Rate per Team
KV Mechelen — BTTS matches (home)65%
Standard Liege — BTTS matches (away)30%
Combined (simple average)47.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
KV Mechelen (home)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.8
Standard Liege (away)
Corners for3.1
Corners against6.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
KV Mechelen
11
6
4
8
4
Standard Liege
10
10
9
7
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
KV Mechelen (home)
For2.1
Standard Liege (away)
For1.9
Shots per Game
KV Mechelen — total shots (home)10.6
Standard Liege — total shots (away)9.2
Shots on Target
KV Mechelen — on target (home)3.5
Standard Liege — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
KV Mechelen
Inside the box6.78
Outside the box3.08
Standard Liege
Inside the box6.85
Outside the box3
Player Shots KV Mechelen
L. Lauberbach
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Schoofs
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Bouke Boersma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. van Brederode
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Raman
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target3%
Player Shots Standard Liege
R. Saïd
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target30%
C. Nielsen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%
Bernard Nguene
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Nkada
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Teuma
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
KV Mechelen xG (home)1.15
Standard Liege xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
49.28%
Possession
44.33%
Team Comparison KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege
79.43%
Pass accuracy
75.3%
408.45
Passes per match
367.95
0.1
Goals prevented
0.23
10.35
Fouls committed
10.25
4
Goalkeeper saves
3.68
1.46
Offsides
2.37
16.55
Tackles per match
14.38
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege prediction analysis
Review KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights