Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Genk

KVC Westerlo vs Genk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-02 12:30
KVC Westerlo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Genk
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

KVC Westerlo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Genk (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

KVC Westerlo
LLWLD
Genk
DWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 81%
45% +1.5 48%
15% +2.5 10%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
45% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

KVC Westerlo averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Genk averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 KVC Westerlo(A) 0 - 3 Genk Away
Apr 2026 KVC Westerlo 1 - 2 Genk Away
Dec 2025 KVC Westerlo(A) 1 - 1 Genk Draw
Nov 2025 KVC Westerlo 0 - 1 Genk Away
Jan 2025 KVC Westerlo 1 - 2 Genk Away

In the last 5 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

KVC Westerlo — unbeaten run (home)0
KVC Westerlo — scoring streak (home)6
Genk — winless run (away)1
Genk — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

KVC Westerlo Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
Genk Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 81%
45% +1.5 48%
15% +2.5 10%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 19%
55% -1.5 52%
85% -2.5 90%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

KVC Westerlo vs Genk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

KVC Westerlo — scored (home)1.3
KVC Westerlo — conceded (home)1.35
Genk — scored (away)1.48
Genk — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (home)45%
Genk — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

KVC Westerlo (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.4

Genk (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

KVC Westerlo
7 9 13 7 12
Genk
9 9 14 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

KVC Westerlo (home)

For1.8

Genk (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

KVC Westerlo — total shots (home)15.2
Genk — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

KVC Westerlo — on target (home)4.6
Genk — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

KVC Westerlo

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6

Genk

Inside the box10.12
Outside the box5.95

Player Shots KVC Westerlo

Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target35%
A. Bibout
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Yokoyama
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

KVC Westerlo xG (home)1.54
Genk xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

49.33% Possession 58.07%

Team Comparison KVC Westerlo vs Genk

79.2% Pass accuracy 84.85%
397.68 Passes per match 518.93
0.03 Goals prevented 0.08
11.2 Fouls committed 10.88
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
1 Offsides 1.98
16.2 Tackles per match 17.51

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

KVC Westerlo vs Genk prediction analysis

Review KVC Westerlo vs Genk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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