Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Gent

KVC Westerlo vs Gent prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-22 17:15
KVC Westerlo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Gent
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

KVC Westerlo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Gent (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

KVC Westerlo
LLWLD
Gent
DLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 65%
45% +1.5 25%
15% +2.5 20%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

KVC Westerlo averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Gent averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 KVC Westerlo(A) 0 - 2 Gent Away
Nov 2025 KVC Westerlo 0 - 0 Gent Draw
Dec 2024 KVC Westerlo 2 - 2 Gent Draw
Aug 2024 KVC Westerlo(A) 1 - 4 Gent Away
Apr 2024 KVC Westerlo(A) 2 - 3 Gent Away

In the last 5 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

KVC Westerlo — unbeaten run (home)0
KVC Westerlo — scoring streak (home)6
Gent — winless run (away)5
Gent — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

KVC Westerlo Win (1)52%
Draw (X)24%
Gent Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 65%
45% +1.5 25%
15% +2.5 20%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 35%
55% -1.5 75%
85% -2.5 80%
95% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

KVC Westerlo vs Gent — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

KVC Westerlo — scored (home)1.3
KVC Westerlo — conceded (home)1.35
Gent — scored (away)1.2
Gent — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (home)45%
Gent — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.573%
Under 8.527%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

KVC Westerlo (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.4

Gent (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

KVC Westerlo
7 9 13 7 12
Gent
6 6 13 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

KVC Westerlo (home)

For1.8

Gent (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

KVC Westerlo — total shots (home)15.2
Gent — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

KVC Westerlo — on target (home)4.6
Gent — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

KVC Westerlo

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6

Gent

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box4.12

Player Shots KVC Westerlo

Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Gent

W. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Dean
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Gandelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
B. Goore
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

KVC Westerlo xG (home)1.54
Gent xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

49.33% Possession 49.22%

Team Comparison KVC Westerlo vs Gent

79.2% Pass accuracy 80.63%
397.68 Passes per match 428.1
0.03 Goals prevented -0.05
11.2 Fouls committed 10.17
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 3.59
1 Offsides 1.95
16.2 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

KVC Westerlo vs Gent prediction analysis

Review KVC Westerlo vs Gent with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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