Prediction Analysis: KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2025-10-05
17:15
KVC Westerlo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
OH Leuven
Away
Prediction Summary
1
64%
X
22%
2
14%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
KVC Westerlo (Home)
Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%
OH Leuven (Away)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
KVC Westerlo
LLWLD
OH Leuven
LDWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
65%
45%
+1.5
20%
15%
+2.5
10%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
45%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
KVC Westerlo averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while OH Leuven averages 0.95 goals scored away.
Model Strength
64%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
64%
Draw
22%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
KVC Westerlo
3 - 3
OH Leuven
Draw
Apr 2026
KVC Westerlo(A)
2 - 0
OH Leuven
Home
Mar 2026
KVC Westerlo(A)
1 - 0
OH Leuven
Home
Oct 2025
KVC Westerlo
2 - 0
OH Leuven
Home
May 2025
KVC Westerlo(A)
2 - 0
OH Leuven
Home
In the last 5 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
KVC Westerlo — unbeaten run (home)0
KVC Westerlo — scoring streak (home)6
OH Leuven — winless run (away)5
OH Leuven — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
KVC Westerlo Win (1)64%
Draw (X)22%
OH Leuven Win (2)14%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
65%
45%
+1.5
20%
15%
+2.5
10%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
35%
55%
-1.5
80%
85%
-2.5
90%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
KVC Westerlo — scored (home)1.3
KVC Westerlo — conceded (home)1.35
OH Leuven — scored (away)0.95
OH Leuven — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.63
Both Teams To Score
Yes45%
No55%
Rate per Team
KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (home)45%
OH Leuven — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)47.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
KVC Westerlo (home)
Corners for5.6
Corners against4.4
OH Leuven (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against6.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
KVC Westerlo
7
9
13
7
12
OH Leuven
7
10
12
20
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
KVC Westerlo (home)
For1.8
OH Leuven (away)
For3.2
Shots per Game
KVC Westerlo — total shots (home)15.2
OH Leuven — total shots (away)11.2
Shots on Target
KVC Westerlo — on target (home)4.6
OH Leuven — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
KVC Westerlo
Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6
OH Leuven
Inside the box8.93
Outside the box3.93
Player Shots KVC Westerlo
Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots OH Leuven
C. Terho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ikwuemesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Maertens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%
K. Vaesen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
KVC Westerlo xG (home)1.54
OH Leuven xG (away)1.23
Average Possession
49.33%
Possession
45.85%
Team Comparison KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven
79.2%
Pass accuracy
76.98%
397.68
Passes per match
348.93
0.03
Goals prevented
0.07
11.2
Fouls committed
14.45
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
3.38
1
Offsides
2.2
16.2
Tackles per match
17.28
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven prediction analysis
Review KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights