Prediction Analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2025-09-21
14:00
KVC Westerlo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Standard Liege
Away
Prediction Summary
1
57%
X
26%
2
17%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
KVC Westerlo (Home)
Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%
Standard Liege (Away)
Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate30%
Team Form last 5 matches
KVC Westerlo
LLWLD
Standard Liege
LWDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
65%
45%
+1.5
40%
15%
+2.5
15%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
45%
BTTS
30%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.
KVC Westerlo averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Standard Liege averages 1.3 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
57%
Draw
26%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
KVC Westerlo
1 - 2
Standard Liege
Away
Apr 2026
KVC Westerlo(A)
2 - 1
Standard Liege
Home
Mar 2026
KVC Westerlo(A)
0 - 0
Standard Liege
Draw
Sep 2025
KVC Westerlo
0 - 2
Standard Liege
Away
May 2025
KVC Westerlo
0 - 0
Standard Liege
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
KVC Westerlo — unbeaten run (home)0
KVC Westerlo — scoring streak (home)6
Standard Liege — winless run (away)0
Standard Liege — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
KVC Westerlo Win (1)57%
Draw (X)26%
Standard Liege Win (2)17%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
65%
45%
+1.5
40%
15%
+2.5
15%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
35%
55%
-1.5
60%
85%
-2.5
85%
95%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
95%
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
KVC Westerlo — scored (home)1.3
KVC Westerlo — conceded (home)1.35
Standard Liege — scored (away)1.3
Standard Liege — conceded (away)1.05
Model expected combined goals2.17
Both Teams To Score
Yes38%
No62%
Rate per Team
KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (home)45%
Standard Liege — BTTS matches (away)30%
Combined (simple average)37.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.595%
Under 6.55%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
KVC Westerlo (home)
Corners for5.6
Corners against4.4
Standard Liege (away)
Corners for3.1
Corners against6.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
KVC Westerlo
7
9
13
7
12
Standard Liege
10
10
9
7
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6
Yellow Cards per Team
KVC Westerlo (home)
For1.8
Standard Liege (away)
For1.9
Shots per Game
KVC Westerlo — total shots (home)15.2
Standard Liege — total shots (away)9.2
Shots on Target
KVC Westerlo — on target (home)4.6
Standard Liege — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
KVC Westerlo
Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6
Standard Liege
Inside the box6.85
Outside the box3
Player Shots KVC Westerlo
Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Standard Liege
R. Saïd
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target30%
C. Nielsen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%
Bernard Nguene
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Nkada
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Teuma
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
KVC Westerlo xG (home)1.54
Standard Liege xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
49.33%
Possession
44.33%
Team Comparison KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
79.2%
Pass accuracy
75.3%
397.68
Passes per match
367.95
0.03
Goals prevented
0.23
11.2
Fouls committed
10.25
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
3.68
1
Offsides
2.37
16.2
Tackles per match
14.38
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege prediction analysis
Review KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights