Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2026-08-08 18:45
KVC Westerlo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Union St. Gilloise
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
28%
2
39%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

KVC Westerlo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Union St. Gilloise (Away)

Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

KVC Westerlo
LLWLD
Union St. Gilloise
WDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 65%
45% +1.5 25%
15% +2.5 20%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

KVC Westerlo averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Union St. Gilloise averages 1.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
28%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 KVC Westerlo 0 - 0 Union St. Gilloise Draw
Sep 2025 KVC Westerlo(A) 0 - 2 Union St. Gilloise Away
Dec 2024 KVC Westerlo(A) 1 - 3 Union St. Gilloise Away
Aug 2024 KVC Westerlo 4 - 3 Union St. Gilloise Home
Feb 2024 KVC Westerlo(A) 2 - 2 Union St. Gilloise Draw

In the last 5 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

KVC Westerlo — unbeaten run (home)0
KVC Westerlo — scoring streak (home)6
Union St. Gilloise — winless run (away)3
Union St. Gilloise — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

KVC Westerlo Win (1)34%
Draw (X)28%
Union St. Gilloise Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 65%
45% +1.5 25%
15% +2.5 20%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 35%
55% -1.5 75%
85% -2.5 80%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

KVC Westerlo — scored (home)1.3
KVC Westerlo — conceded (home)1.35
Union St. Gilloise — scored (away)1.15
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (home)45%
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

KVC Westerlo (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.4

Union St. Gilloise (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

KVC Westerlo
7 9 13 7 12
Union St. Gilloise
10 6 16 13 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

KVC Westerlo (home)

For1.8

Union St. Gilloise (away)

For3.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.54

KVC Westerlo

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.32
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.23

Union St. Gilloise

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.22
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.24

Shots per Game

KVC Westerlo — total shots (home)15.2
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

KVC Westerlo — on target (home)4.6
Union St. Gilloise — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

KVC Westerlo

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box10.98
Outside the box4.2

Player Shots KVC Westerlo

Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Biondic
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

KVC Westerlo xG (home)1.54
Union St. Gilloise xG (away)1.7

Average Possession

49.33% Possession 52.1%

Team Comparison KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise

79.2% Pass accuracy 79.8%
397.68 Passes per match 431.95
0.03 Goals prevented 0.07
11.2 Fouls committed 12.1
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 1.85
1 Offsides 2.53
16.2 Tackles per match 18.43

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction analysis

Review KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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