Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Las Palmas vs Albacete

Las Palmas vs Albacete prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-16 15:00
Las Palmas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Albacete
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
28%
2
28%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Las Palmas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate50%

Albacete (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Las Palmas
DLWDW
Albacete
LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

77% +0.5 71%
45% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 14%
9% +3.5 14%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Las Palmas averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Albacete averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
28%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Las Palmas(A) 1 - 2 Albacete Away
Nov 2025 Las Palmas 2 - 1 Albacete Home
Apr 2023 Las Palmas(A) 2 - 1 Albacete Home
Dec 2022 Las Palmas 1 - 2 Albacete Away
May 2021 Las Palmas 3 - 2 Albacete Home

In the last 5 meetings, Las Palmas won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Las Palmas — unbeaten run (home)0
Las Palmas — scoring streak (home)0
Albacete — winless run (away)1
Albacete — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Las Palmas Win (1)44%
Draw (X)28%
Albacete Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

77% +0.5 71%
45% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 14%
9% +3.5 14%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

23% -0.5 29%
55% -1.5 76%
82% -2.5 86%
91% -3.5 86%
100% -4.5 100%

Las Palmas vs Albacete — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Las Palmas — scored (home)1.5
Las Palmas — conceded (home)0.68
Albacete — scored (away)1.24
Albacete — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals2.26

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Las Palmas — BTTS matches (home)50%
Albacete — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)49%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Las Palmas (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.6

Albacete (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Las Palmas
10 10 6 6 9
Albacete
8 8 19 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Las Palmas (home)

For1.8

Albacete (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.45

Las Palmas

Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.23
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.72

Albacete

Shots Over 9.554%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.23
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.52

Shots per Game

Las Palmas — total shots (home)12.6
Albacete — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Las Palmas — on target (home)4.7
Albacete — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Las Palmas

Inside the box6.89
Outside the box5

Albacete

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.55

Player Shots Las Palmas

Jesé
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Luković
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target18%
Estanis
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
Marc Cardona
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Mika Màrmol
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Albacete

Jefté Betancor
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Rubio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
Lorenzo Aguado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
Agus Medina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
Lluís López
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Las Palmas xG (home)1.27
Albacete xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

55.73% Possession 42.29%

Team Comparison Las Palmas vs Albacete

82.69% Pass accuracy 76.15%
494.25 Passes per match 342.52
0 Goals prevented 0
11.77 Fouls committed 11.31
2.55 Goalkeeper saves 3.21
2.5 Offsides 1.67
16.48 Tackles per match 15.88

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Las Palmas vs Albacete prediction analysis

Review Las Palmas vs Albacete with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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