Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Las Palmas vs Getafe

Las Palmas vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-01-12 13:00
Las Palmas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Getafe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
29%
2
25%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Las Palmas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Getafe (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Las Palmas
LLLLL
Getafe
LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 53%
32% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Las Palmas averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
29%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2025 Las Palmas(A) 3 - 1 Getafe Home
Jan 2025 Las Palmas 1 - 2 Getafe Away
Mar 2024 Las Palmas(A) 3 - 3 Getafe Draw
Dec 2023 Las Palmas 2 - 0 Getafe Home

In the last 4 meetings, Las Palmas won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Las Palmas — unbeaten run (home)0
Las Palmas — scoring streak (home)0
Getafe — winless run (away)0
Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Las Palmas Win (1)47%
Draw (X)29%
Getafe Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 53%
32% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 47%
68% -1.5 68%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Las Palmas vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Las Palmas — scored (home)1.11
Las Palmas — conceded (home)1.53
Getafe — scored (away)1
Getafe — conceded (away)1.05
Model expected combined goals2.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Las Palmas — BTTS matches (home)63%
Getafe — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Las Palmas (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.9

Getafe (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Las Palmas
14 16 6 11 9
Getafe
10 8 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Las Palmas (home)

For2.9

Getafe (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Las Palmas — total shots (home)13.2
Getafe — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Las Palmas — on target (home)4.1
Getafe — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Las Palmas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box4.37

Getafe

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Las Palmas

Alberto Moleiro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
Sandro Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target9%
Kirian Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Álex Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Diego Rico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Nyom
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Las Palmas xG (home)0.94
Getafe xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

50.95% Possession 41.24%

Team Comparison Las Palmas vs Getafe

80.18% Pass accuracy 68.39%
434.03 Passes per match 293.32
0.08 Goals prevented 0.19
11.89 Fouls committed 15.84
3.37 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.55 Offsides 2.37
16.26 Tackles per match 16.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Las Palmas vs Getafe prediction analysis

Review Las Palmas vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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