Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Las Palmas vs Girona

Las Palmas vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-10-26 16:30
Las Palmas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Girona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
27%
2
34%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Las Palmas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Las Palmas
LLLLL
Girona
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%
32% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Las Palmas averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
27%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Las Palmas(A) 1 - 2 Girona Away
Oct 2024 Las Palmas 1 - 0 Girona Home
Apr 2024 Las Palmas 0 - 2 Girona Away
Sep 2023 Las Palmas(A) 0 - 1 Girona Away
Mar 2022 Las Palmas 1 - 3 Girona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Las Palmas won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Las Palmas — unbeaten run (home)0
Las Palmas — scoring streak (home)0
Girona — winless run (away)1
Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Las Palmas Win (1)39%
Draw (X)27%
Girona Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%
32% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%
68% -1.5 84%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Las Palmas vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Las Palmas — scored (home)1.11
Las Palmas — conceded (home)1.53
Girona — scored (away)0.89
Girona — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Las Palmas — BTTS matches (home)63%
Girona — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Las Palmas (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.9

Girona (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Las Palmas
14 16 6 11 9
Girona
7 8 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Las Palmas (home)

For2.9

Girona (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Las Palmas — total shots (home)13.2
Girona — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Las Palmas — on target (home)4.1
Girona — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Las Palmas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box4.37

Girona

Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Las Palmas

Alberto Moleiro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
Sandro Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target9%
Kirian Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Álex Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Girona

Abel Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target13%
Iván Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
David López
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Y. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Las Palmas xG (home)0.94
Girona xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

50.95% Possession 56.47%

Team Comparison Las Palmas vs Girona

80.18% Pass accuracy 87.37%
434.03 Passes per match 517.42
0.08 Goals prevented -0.2
11.89 Fouls committed 11.5
3.37 Goalkeeper saves 2.86
1.55 Offsides 2.14
16.26 Tackles per match 14.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Las Palmas vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Las Palmas vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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