What markets are included in the Las Palmas vs Leganes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Las Palmas vs Leganes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Las Palmas vs Leganes

Las Palmas vs Leganes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-18 17:00

Las Palmas

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Leganes

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

26%

32%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Las Palmas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate63%

Leganes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Las Palmas

LLLLL

Leganes

WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%

32% +1.5 16%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Las Palmas averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Leganes averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

26%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Las Palmas 2 - 0 Leganes Home

Sep 2025 Las Palmas(A) 1 - 0 Leganes Home

May 2025 Las Palmas 0 - 1 Leganes Away

Aug 2024 Las Palmas(A) 1 - 2 Leganes Away

Feb 2023 Las Palmas(A) 0 - 0 Leganes Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Las Palmas won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Las Palmas — unbeaten run (home)0

Las Palmas — scoring streak (home)0

Leganes — winless run (away)0

Leganes — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Las Palmas Win (1)41%

Draw (X)26%

Leganes Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%

32% +1.5 16%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%

68% -1.5 84%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Las Palmas vs Leganes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Las Palmas — scored (home)1.11

Las Palmas — conceded (home)1.53

Leganes — scored (away)0.84

Leganes — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Las Palmas — BTTS matches (home)63%

Leganes — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Las Palmas (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.9

Leganes (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Las Palmas

14 16 6 11 9

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Las Palmas (home)

For2.9

Leganes (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Las Palmas — total shots (home)13.2

Leganes — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Las Palmas — on target (home)4.1

Leganes — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Las Palmas

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box4.37

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Player Shots Las Palmas

Alberto Moleiro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

Sandro Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target13%

O. McBurnie

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target9%

Kirian Rodríguez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target10%

Álex Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Las Palmas xG (home)0.94

Leganes xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

50.95% Possession 42.42%

Team Comparison Las Palmas vs Leganes

80.18% Pass accuracy 76%

434.03 Passes per match 354.42

0.08 Goals prevented -0.01

11.89 Fouls committed 13.24

3.37 Goalkeeper saves 3.32

1.55 Offsides 2.21

16.26 Tackles per match 16.66

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Las Palmas vs Leganes prediction analysis

Review Las Palmas vs Leganes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights