Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lask Linz vs FC BW Linz

Lask Linz vs FC BW Linz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-09-21 12:30
Lask Linz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC BW Linz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Lask Linz (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.19
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%

FC BW Linz (Away)

Goals scored / match0.56
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lask Linz
WWWWD
FC BW Linz
LDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 50%
50% +1.5 6%
31% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lask Linz averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while FC BW Linz averages 0.56 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Lask Linz 3 - 2 FC BW Linz Home
Nov 2025 Lask Linz(A) 1 - 0 FC BW Linz Home
Sep 2025 Lask Linz 2 - 0 FC BW Linz Home
Feb 2025 Lask Linz 0 - 0 FC BW Linz Draw
Sep 2024 Lask Linz(A) 0 - 1 FC BW Linz Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lask Linz won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lask Linz — unbeaten run (home)6
Lask Linz — scoring streak (home)4
FC BW Linz — winless run (away)11
FC BW Linz — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lask Linz Win (1)41%
Draw (X)25%
FC BW Linz Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 50%
50% +1.5 6%
31% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 50%
50% -1.5 94%
69% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lask Linz vs FC BW Linz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lask Linz — scored (home)1.75
Lask Linz — conceded (home)1.19
FC BW Linz — scored (away)0.56
FC BW Linz — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Lask Linz — BTTS matches (home)56%
FC BW Linz — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lask Linz (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.6

FC BW Linz (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lask Linz
12 8 4 9 13
FC BW Linz
8 9 14 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Lask Linz (home)

For1.6

FC BW Linz (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Lask Linz — total shots (home)17.3
FC BW Linz — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Lask Linz — on target (home)5.1
FC BW Linz — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lask Linz

Inside the box9.97
Outside the box5.59

FC BW Linz

Inside the box7.94
Outside the box4.53

Player Shots Lask Linz

S. Adeniran
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target30%
M. Usor
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Kalajdzic
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Jørgensen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
X. Mbuyamba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots FC BW Linz

S. Seidl
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target31%
J. Knollmüller
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Ronivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Weissman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
N. Maier
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lask Linz xG (home)1.97
FC BW Linz xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

49% Possession 49.94%

Team Comparison Lask Linz vs FC BW Linz

79.16% Pass accuracy 71.16%
390.38 Passes per match 385.44
0.02 Goals prevented -0.34
10.81 Fouls committed 12.03
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.41
1.44 Offsides 1.55
15.56 Tackles per match 17.81

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lask Linz vs FC BW Linz prediction analysis

Review Lask Linz vs FC BW Linz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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