Prediction Analysis: Lask Linz vs Ried
Lask Linz vs Ried prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-08-14
17:30
Lask Linz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Ried
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
24%
2
25%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Lask Linz (Home)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.19
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%
Ried (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Lask Linz
WWWWD
Ried
LWWLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
59%
50%
+1.5
35%
31%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
56%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.
Lask Linz averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Ried averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Lask Linz(A)
2 - 1
Ried
Home
Feb 2026
Lask Linz(A)
1 - 1
Ried
Draw
Aug 2025
Lask Linz
1 - 3
Ried
Away
Feb 2023
Lask Linz(A)
1 - 1
Ried
Draw
Sep 2022
Lask Linz
1 - 1
Ried
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Lask Linz won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Lask Linz — unbeaten run (home)6
Lask Linz — scoring streak (home)4
Ried — winless run (away)9
Ried — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Lask Linz Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Ried Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
59%
50%
+1.5
35%
31%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
41%
50%
-1.5
65%
69%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Lask Linz vs Ried — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Lask Linz — scored (home)1.75
Lask Linz — conceded (home)1.19
Ried — scored (away)1
Ried — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.76
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Lask Linz — BTTS matches (home)56%
Ried — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)54.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Lask Linz (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against4.6
Ried (away)
Corners for3.5
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Lask Linz
12
8
4
9
13
Ried
12
8
6
9
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Lask Linz (home)
For1.6
Ried (away)
For2.3
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.29
Lask Linz
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.82
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.90
Ried
Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.46
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.50
Shots per Game
Lask Linz — total shots (home)17.3
Ried — total shots (away)10.4
Shots on Target
Lask Linz — on target (home)5.1
Ried — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Lask Linz
Inside the box9.97
Outside the box5.59
Ried
Inside the box7.83
Outside the box4.09
Player Shots Lask Linz
S. Adeniran
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target30%
M. Usor
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Kalajdzic
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Jørgensen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
X. Mbuyamba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Ried
K. Mutandwa
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Große
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Van Wyk
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kiedl
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Bajić
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Lask Linz xG (home)1.97
Ried xG (away)1.36
Average Possession
49%
Possession
49.26%
Team Comparison Lask Linz vs Ried
79.16%
Pass accuracy
73.34%
390.38
Passes per match
332.09
0.02
Goals prevented
-0
10.81
Fouls committed
11.74
2.47
Goalkeeper saves
2.91
1.44
Offsides
2.45
15.56
Tackles per match
14.54
League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Lask Linz vs Ried prediction analysis
Review Lask Linz vs Ried with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights